Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore – Milano May 7th, 2014 Russia: Political and Economic Overview Matteo Verda Istituto per gli Studi di Politica Internazionale - Milano INTRODUCTION • Introduction • Recent history and politics • Macroeconomic trends • Socio-economic context • Economic outlook and external economic activities • Final remarks • Addendum on energy THE COMMONWEALTH OF INDEPENDENT STATES GDP, CONSTANT PRICES Bn rubles; base year: 2008 – Source: IMF, online database. GDP AT PURCHASING POWER PARITY, PER CAPITA PPP dollars – Source: IMF, online database. INFLATION, AVERAGE CONSUMER PRICES Percent change – Source: IMF, online database. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE Percent of total labour force – Source: IMF, online database. DEFICIT AND DEBT Share of GDP – Source: IMF, online database. OIL DEPENDENCY GDP in current dollars; Brent price in current dollars – Sources: IMF, online database; BP, Statistical Review of World Energy 2013 PRODUCTIVITY Source: IMF, online database. HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX: 1990-2007 HDI index and ranking in 2012 - United Nations Development Programme, online database. DEMOGRAPHY Million – Source: IMF, online database. POPULATION PYRAMID CIA, The World Factbook. POPULATION DYNAMICS Per thousand of population – Source: Federal State Statistics Service, online database. ETHNICITY Source: Federal State Statistics Service, online database. RUSSIAN EXPORT 2012 – Source: Federal State Statistics Service, online database. RUSSIAN EXPORT - PARTNERS 2012 – UNCTAD, online database; Federal State Statistics Service, online database. RUSSIAN IMPORTS 2012 – Source: Federal State Statistics Service, online database. RUSSIAN IMPORTS - PARTNERS 2012 – UNCTAD, online database; Federal State Statistics Service, online database. EU-RUSSIA TRADE BALANCE € BN Source: Eurostat, ext_st_eu28sitc RUSSIA AND ITS INFLUENCE MILITARY SPENDING SIPRI, online database.. Спасибо! Matteo Verda, Istituto per gli Studi di Politica Internazionale (ISPI) – Milano mail: [email protected] blog: www.sicurezzaenergetica.it Twitter: @matteoverda Linkedin: Linkedin/in/matteoverda