BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria OUTLINE • PREMISE ON MODELS • MULTIPLE ATTRACTORS • WHAT ABOUT LOVE AFFAIRS? • CYRANO DE BERGERAC • EXTENSIONS AND CONCLUSIONS PREMISE ON MODELS Can we graphically describe the evolution of a love story? 𝑥 𝑥 𝑥 0 time 0 time 0 𝑥 𝑥 𝑥 0 time 0 time 0 time time 𝑥1 PREMISE ON MODELS From individuals to couples 𝑥2 0 time 𝑥2 time 0 0 time 𝑥1 𝑥2 0 PREMISE ON MODELS Typical love stories 𝑥 𝑥 2 𝑥1 𝑥2 0 0 2 𝑥1 𝑥2 𝑥1 0 0 𝑥1 𝑥2 𝑥1 0 𝑥1 PREMISE ON MODELS 1: SHE 2: HE SHE t: today t+1: tomorrow 𝑥1 (𝑡 + 1) = 𝑥1 (𝑡) −𝛼1 𝑥1 (𝑡) +ρ1 𝐴2 +𝑅1 (𝑥2 (𝑡)) 𝑅1 (𝑥2 ) 𝑅1 + 𝑥2 𝑅1 − Similarly for HE Gone with the Wind (1936) – Margaret Mitchell (1900-1949) Scarlett O'Hara Rhett Butler Vivien Leigh Clark Gable Gone with the Wind (1939) - Victor Fleming Gone with the Wind (1936) – Margaret Mitchell (1900-1949) Il Canzoniere (1366) – Francesco Petrarca (1304-1374) Laura de Sade Francesco Petrarca Francesco’s love 1.5 1 0.5 0 -0.5 -1 Time [years] 0 5 10 15 20 Jules et Jim (1953) – Henri-Pierre Roché (1879-1959) Jules Kathe Jim Oskar Werner Jeanne Moreau Henri Serre Jules et Jim (1962) - François Truffaut Jules et Jim (1953) – Henri-Pierre Roché (1879-1959) La belle et la bête (1740) Jeanne-Marie Leprince de Beaumont (1711-1780) Beauty and the Beast (1991) - Walt Disney Pride and Prejudice (1813) – Jane Austen (1775-1817) Elizabeth Bennet Fitzwilliam Darcy Keira Knightley Matthew Macfadyen Pride & Prejudice (2005) - Joe Wright Cyrano de Bergerac – Edmond Rostand (1868-1918) Cyrano de Bergerac Roxane ACyr = - 2 ARox = 0.6 Gérard Depardieu Anne Brochet Christian de Neuvillette AChr = 1 Vincent Perez Cyrano de Bergerac (1990) - Jean-Paul Rappeneau MULTIPLE ATTRACTORS a simple experiment MULTIPLE ATTRACTORS MULTIPLE ATTRACTORS MULTIPLE ATTRACTORS two equilibria anaerobic bacteria SICK HEALTHY aerobic bacteria MULTIPLE ATTRACTORS one equilibrium and one cycle NORMAL HICCUP MULTIPLE ATTRACTORS two strange attractors NORMAL EPYLESSY MULTIPLE ATTRACTORS From bad to good GOOD ??? BAD WHAT ABOUT LOVE AFFAIRS? 𝑥2 GOOD 𝑥1 BAD WHAT ABOUT LOVE AFFAIRS? 𝑥2 GOOD IDEA: Bluff 𝑥1 BAD – Love 𝑥 →𝑥+𝐵 – Appeal 𝐴 → 𝐴 + 𝐵 WHAT ABOUT LOVE AFFAIRS? NO BLUFF 𝑥2 WITH BLUFF 𝑥2 GOOD GOOD 𝑥1 BAD 𝑥1 CYRANO DE BERGERAC CYRANO DE BERGERAC CYRANO DE BERGERAC CYRANO DE BERGERAC CYRANO DE BERGERAC Fifteen years later CYRANO DE BERGERAC CYRANO DE BERGERAC The model SHE HE 𝑥1 (𝑡 + 1) = 𝑥1 (𝑡) −𝛼1 𝑥1 (𝑡) + ρ1 𝐴2 + 𝑅1 (𝑥2 (𝑡)) 𝑥2 (𝑡 + 1) = 𝑥2 (𝑡) −𝛼2 𝑥2 (𝑡) + ρ2 𝐴1 + 𝑅2 (𝑥1 (𝑡)) Cyrano Roxane CYRANO DE BERGERAC The model SHE HE 𝑥1 (𝑡 + 1) = 𝑥1 (𝑡) −𝛼1 𝑥1 (𝑡) + ρ1 𝐴2 + 𝑅1 (𝑥2 (𝑡)) 𝑥2 (𝑡 + 1) = 𝑥2 (𝑡) −𝛼2 𝑥2 (𝑡) + ρ2 𝐴1 + 𝑅2 (𝑥1 (𝑡)) The parameters Virtual phase: without bluffing 𝑥2 GOOD BAD 0 𝑥1 Real phase: with bluffing 𝑥2 𝑃 0 𝑥1 Separation phase 𝑥2 𝑃 𝑄 0 𝑥1 Virtual phase: the expected future 𝑥2 GOOD 𝑄 BAD 0 𝑥1 Summary: The overall story 𝑥2 GOOD 𝑃 𝑄 BAD 0 𝑥1 EXTENSIONS AND CONCLUSIONS EXTENSIONS AND CONCLUSIONS EXTENSIONS AND CONCLUSIONS • high no bluffing Appeals: • intermediate temporary bluffing • low permanent bluffing These results explain the incresing use of chatting and aesthetic surgery