17th Congress of the European Business History Association 2013 “Innovation and Growth” University of Uppsala, 22-24 August 2013 FROM HILFERDING TO HILFERDING? FINANCE-CAPITAL IN ITALIAN CAPITALISM, 1913-2001 Alberto Rinaldi (Department of Economics - University of Modena and Reggio Emilia and RECent) Michelangelo Vasta (Department of Economics and Statistics - University of Siena) Broad framework 2 In the framework of Hall and Soskice (2001) Italy does not fit well with either the “Liberal Market Economy” or the “Coordinated Market Economy” model; For most of the 20th century Italy is characterised by: “Law and finance” (La Porta et al., 1999; 2008) and “Political economy” approaches (Aganin and Volpin, 2003): low legal protection of investors curbed the development of financial markets in Italy. This involved: An extensive presence of state-owned enterprises (SOEs); A wide diffusion of family ownership; High ownership concentration (no public companies in Italy); The emergence of pyramidal groups to allow for the separation of ownership and control; Mixed banks (until 1933) and the state (from 1930s to 1990s) acted as a substitute for financial markets; Pagano and Trento’s (2003) evolutionary approach: Complementarity between technology and institutional setting; The passage from one technological trajectory to another can foster either homogenization or new viable diversification of organizational forms; Corporate governance structure can in turn affect how technology evolves. Two major institutional break-ups 3 The 1936 Banking Law puts an end to the mixed banks: Banks can provide only short term credit to the industrial sector; Long and medium term credit can be provided only by special state-owned agencies; Banks are prohibited to own shares of industrial companies; The 1990s: The 1993 Banking Law allows banks to acquire share in non financial firms → possible return to the mixed banks; Massive privatizations of state-owned enterprises: both banks and non financial companies. Banks and industry in the early period of Italian economic growth 4 Gerschenkron (1962): Central role of the mixed banks: Mixed banks provided credit, share capital and managerial advise to companies in capital intensive industries; Confalonieri (1974-76, 1982, 1992, 1997): Mixed banks reconsidered: Mixed banks were the “substitution factor” that spurred the Italy’s big spurt in the 20 years prior to WW1 (enabled Italy to catch up the Second Industrial Revolution); Mixed banks did not draft an overall industrial strategy; Mixed banks (at least until WW1) avoided permanent ownership of industrial companies; Fohlin (1998, 1999): Mixed banks supported large established companies (irrespective of their sector); Mixed banks did not support promising risky ventures. Main aim of the paper 5 The analysis of the structure of the Italian corporate network from 1913 to 2010, with special regard to the banks’ role; Eight benchmark years: 1913, 1927, 1936, 1960, 1972, 1983, 2001, 2010; We use the interlocking directorates (ID) technique Our analysis regards in particular: A descriptive statistics of the network; Networks analysis: Density and cohesiveness of the network; The central companies; The directors → the big linkers (BL): the individuals who held the largest number of directorships. What is an interlock? 6 The are different forms of interlocks: 1) 2) Firm X Board of Directors: linker A President: A Directors: B, C, D Firm W Board of Directors: President: H Directors: I, J, K Firm Y Board of Directors: President: A Directors: E, F, G linker H Firm Z Board of Directors: President: L Directors: H, M N, O The source 7 1913-1983:Imita.db (http://imita.db.unisi.it): A large dataset on Italian joint-stock companies (1900-1983) → It contains data on: More than 38,000 companies for nine benchmark years (1911, 1913, 1921, 1927, 1936, 1952, 1960, 1972, 1983); Almost 300,000 directors of Italian joint-stock companies for the same benchmark years; More than 100,000 balance sheets (time series from foundation up to 1983) for all industrial companies contained in the source; 2001: R&S-Mediobanca for companies and Infocamere, a large dataset of Unioncamere (the association of the Italian chambers of commerce), for directors; 2010: R&S-Mediobanca for companies and Aida, a large dataset of Bureau Van Dijck, for directors. The sample for this paper 8 For this paper we have selected (according to the guidelines of an international comparative project directed by David & Westerhuis) Italy’s top 250 companies by total assets for eight benchmark years: 1913, 1927, 1936, 1960, 1972, 1983, 2001 and 2010; The top 250 companies have been selected according to the following criteria: The top 200 non financials; The top 50 financials (banks, insurances, finance companies). Descriptive statistics of the network 9 A: Number of non-financial firms Total number of seats Average size of the board Total number of directors 1913 200 1,781 8.9 1,166 1927 200 2,236 11.2 1,356 1936 200 1,841 9.2 1,371 1960 200 2,150 10.8 1,457 1972 200 2,106 10.5 1,641 1983 200 1,813 9.1 1,456 2001 200 1,536 7.7 1,307 2010 200 1,676 8.4 1,528 B: Number of financial firms Total number of seats Average size of the board Total number of directors 50 611 12.2 554 50 788 15.8 668 50 705 14.1 592 50 783 15.7 653 50 909 18.2 761 50 865 17.3 752 50 727 14.5 602 50 751 15.0 685 A+B : Total number of firms Total number of seats Average size of the board Total number of directors CR: Cumulation Ratio 250 2,392 9.6 1,571 1.52 250 3,024 12.1 1,827 1.66 250 2,546 10.2 1,618 1.57 250 2,933 11.7 1,932 1.52 250 3,015 12.1 2,230 1.35 250 2,678 10.7 2,108 1.27 250 2,263 9.1 1,850 1.22 250 2,427 9.7 2,155 1.13 Firms by sector 10 1913 1927 1936 1960 1972 1983 2001 2010 Total 250 o 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 1 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 3 8 10 5 4 5 15 10 16 4 37 62 66 46 5 7 41 42 5 4 8 4 6 5 9 11 13 6 101 85 98 118 148 142 111 87 7 9 10 7 9 6 2 1 1 8 - 9 8 13 2 8 10 8 2 2 10 21 6 9 2 3 3 11 7 3 3 2 1 1 - 12 4 3 4 3 7 11 12 13 2 5 17 9 9 13 Legend: 1: Financials; 3: Service industry; 4: Electric utility. Water, Telephone, and Gas; 5: Trade companies; 6: Manufacturing companies; 7: Mining industry; 8: Oil companies; 9: Shipping industry; 10: Railway companies; 11: Tramway companies; 12: Building companies; 13: Transport, Warehousing, and Communication. Network statistics 11 Size and structure 1913 1927 1936 1960 1972 1983 2001 2010 Number of firms 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 Number of marginal firms (M)* 27 32 29 21 45 63 70 85 M as % of total number of firms 10.8 12.8 11.6 8.4 18.0 25.2 28.0 34.0 Isolated firms (I) 21 15 19 17 24 33 71 94 I as % of total number of firms 8.4 6.0 7.6 6.8 9.6 13.2 28.4 37.6 I + M as % of total number of firms 19.2 18.8 19.2 15.2 27.6 38.4 56.4 71.6 Number of firms in main component 229 234 223 229 222 209 153 121 % of firms in main component 91.6 93.6 89.2 91.6 88.8 83.6 61.2 48.4 Number of components** 0 2 4 2 2 4 11 15 * M: Firms with degree 1 or 2; ** Main component and isolated firms are not included. Network statistics: ties 12 Ties 1913 1927 1936 1960 1972 1983 2001 2010 Total number of lines 1,484 2,680 1,693 1,768 1,270 657 420 245 Number of multiple lines 304 736 463 545 291 182 143 65 Number of firms in 2m-cores 216 223 215 216 197 182 130 103 Density (x 100) 4.77 8.61 5.44 5.68 4.08 2.05 1.35 0.79 D = L(r)/L(p) where: L(r) is the number of real connections L(p), defined as n(n-1)/2, indicates the number of all possible connections Density and isolated & marginal firms 13 10 80 9 70 8 71,6 8,61 60 7 56,4 6 Density (left axis) 5 4 5,44 5,68 4,08 4,77 3 2 50 40 38,4 30 27,6 19,2 18,8 19,2 2,05 15,2 1 20 10 1,35 0 1913 1927 1936 1960 1972 1983 2001 0,79 2010 0 % Isolated an marginal firms (right axis) Density (%): France, Germany, UK, USA (and Italy) 14 Top 10 companies according to degree centrality 15 Sector of activity Manufacturing Electrical power Energy Constructions Railway Transport Telecommunications Banking Finance Insurance Services Total 1913 2 3 1 4 10 1927 1 6 2 1 10 1936 4 2 2 2 10 1960 2 4 3 1 10 1972 5 1 1 2 1 10 1983 7 1 3 2 13 2001 1 1 3 3 1 2 11 2010 3 1 1 1 3 4 2 15 Conclusions (tentative) 1/2 16 Some distinct phases in the long term evolution of the Italian corporate network; These phases are due to both institutional and technological shocks: In the 20th century there are some major institutional break-ups: Collapse of the mixed banks in the 1930s; Nationalisation of the electricity industry in 1962; Privatisations of SOEs in the 1990s; For what concerns technology, Italy experimented: From the onset of the 20th century to the 1970s: rise and consolidation of the technologies of the Second Industrial Revolution and large diffusion of the fordist paradigm; From the 1970s: emergence of the new technological trajectory of the Third Industrial Revolution. Conclusions (tentative) 2/2 17 17 The Italian corporate network was very cohesive up to the 1960; The connectivity indexes reached their highest values in the late 1920s with the maximum influence of the mixed banks → heyday of finance capital (Hilferding 1910); A sharp decrease in the cohesion of the network from 1972 onwards, with the transition from the technological trajectory of the second to that of the third industrial revolution; Italy experienced an earlier and more pronounced decline of its corporate network than other advanced economies (US, UK, D, F and also NL - CH), where it started after 1980; The privatizations of the 1990s: Were intended to prompt the rise of North American-style public companies; But produced a return of banks in a central position in the now weaker network from which they had disappeared in the 1930s → finance capital (Hilferding) is back? In the other advanced nations: Decline of corporate networks since the 1980s due to the disengagement of banks from industrial companies; Banks are in a more marginal position (Davis and Mizruchi 1999; David, Schnyder and Mach 2010).