13°International Symposium Heart Failure & Co. “My sweet Heart” Napoli, 12-13 Aprile 2013 Suscettibilità alla aritmie del miocardio nel diabetico e non: la morte improvvisa Possible arrhythmic susceptibility of the myocardium in diabetes: the issue of sudden death. Prof. Luigi Padeletti Università degli Studi di Firenze Cardiovascular Mortality In Diabetes Mellitus Juntilla MJ et al, Heart Rhythm 2010 Cardiovascular Mortality In Diabetes Mellitus Juntilla MJ et al, Heart Rhythm 2010 Cardiovascular Mortality In Diabetes Mellitus Juntilla MJ et al, Heart Rhythm 2010 Diabetes Mellitus and Mortality P < 0.001 P < 0.001 P < 0.001 P 0.002 Cubbon et al, Diabetes & Vascular Disease Research 2013 Diabetes Mellitus & Cardiac Arrest Jouven X et al, European Heart Journal 2005 Cardiac Damage in Diabetes Mellitus Adeghate E & Singh J, Heart Failure Reviews 2013 Cardiovascular Autonomic Dysfunction Pop-Busui R, J of Cardiovsc Trans Res 2012 Cardiovascular Autonomic Dysfunction Pop-Busui R, J of Cardiovasc Trans Res 2012 La Visione Bidimensionale dell’Appropriatezza Il concetto di appropriatezza, anche se affonda salde radici nella performance professionale, rappresenta una delle modalità per fronteggiare la cronica carenza di risorse, attraverso una loro ottimizzazione. 2-years total mortality risk • 20-30 % pts • MUSTT MADIT II SCD-HeFT • 20% pts • MADIT II SCD-HeFT 30-50% ICD benefit as a function of cumulative risk factors Goldenberg I et al, J Am Coll Cardiol 2008 The MADIT-II Long-Term Risk Score Barsheshet et al, J Am Coll Cardiol 2012 Predicting Early Mortality in Recipients of ICDs Kramer D. et al. Heart Rhythm 2012;9:42– 46 Kramer DB et al, Heart Rhythm 2012 La razionale applicazione delle indicazioni per l’impianto di ICD e CRT-D evidenzia la necessità di introdurre nella corrente pratica clinica nuove metodiche diagnostiche in grado di identificare il reale rischio aritmico dei pazienti. What about the neuronal side of the synaptic cleft? 1. In HF cardiac norepinephrine spillover is increased 2. In HF pts, cardiac norepinephrine spillover is a powerful prognostic predictor 3. In HF pts, cardiac content of norepinephrine is reduced Cardiac storage of Norepinephrine is altered in HF La sinapsi noradrenergica Lo studio in vivo? Cao et al., Circulation 2000 SNS and ventricular myocardium SNS and HR Sinus node function Easily interrogated by ECG and Holter More complex to interrogate Limited relevance in HF progression Possible role in HF progression Sympathetic preganglionar Simpathetic postganglionar presynaptic Parasympathetic preganglionar Parasympathetic postganglionar presynaptic Visceral efferent Visceral afferent (sensory) AdreView I123-Iobenguano AdreView is an imaging agent indicated for functional studies of the myocardium (sympathetic innervation) • AdreView is 123Iodine labeled meta-iodobenzylguanidine (mIBG) • AdreView is an inactive analogue of noradrenaline, with similar uptake & storage • AdreView scintigraphy helps visualize the noradrenaline uptake & storage, a measure of sympathetic innervation • AdreView uptake has been shown to be reduced in heart failure • AdreView is therefore a marker of sympathetic damage, a potential causative factor in lethal arrhythmias Noradrenaline AdreView Cardiac sympathetic innervation Normal Heart failure subject Sympathetic nervous terminal Sympathetic nervous terminal DHPG DHPG DHPG DHPG Monoamine oxidase Noradrenaline 80% AdreView Monoamine oxidase Noradrenaline <80% AdreView Normal Noradrenaline reuptake AdreView AdreView Noradrenaline Noradrenaline β1 α1 α1 >20% Impaired Noradrenaline reuptake 20% β1 β1 α1 α1 Myocite β1 Myocite H H AdreView: come misura l’innervazione simpatica • L'innervazione simpatica cardiaca è misurata dal Rapporto Cuore/mediastino (H/ M) =quantifica la captazione cardiaca di AdreView rapporto tra uptake radioattivi: tra la ROI del cuore (H) e la ROI del Mediastino superiore(M), regione senza attività noradrenergica • il rapporto H / M ha dimostrato di avere un elevato valore prognostico nei pazienti cardiopatici Normal Diseased Sympathetic nervous terminal Sympathetic nervous terminal DHPG Monoamine oxidase Monoamine oxidase Noradrenaline Noradrenaline 80% AdreView Normal Noradrenaline reuptake AdreView AdreView α1 β1 Mortalità = rapporto tra il numero delle morti in un popolo, durante un periodo di tempo, e la quantità della popolazione media dello stesso periodo. >20% Impaired Noradrenaline reuptake 20% Noradrenaline Noradrenaline α1 <80% AdreView β1 α1 α1 β1 β1 Myocite Myocite M M • Più basso è il rapporto H/M, maggiore è il rischio di morbilità e di mortalità Morbilità=frequenza di malattia nella popolazione DHPG DHPG DHPG H Healthy subject Normal EF >60%) H/M ratio: 2.33 H Heart failure subject Class III EF = 35% H/M ratio: 1.18 Danno postischemico Extent of the MIBG defect correlates with area at risk during acute coronary occlusion. These polar tomograms were obtained from a patient with an acute anterior myocardial infarction. The risk area was quantified with 99mTc-sestamibi prior to reperfusion with percutaneous coronary intervention, and infarct size was documented from repeat imaging 1 week later.31 The defect in sympathetic nerve function assessed with MIBG was significantly larger than the area of infarction and was almost identical to the original extent of myocardial ischemia. Figure source: Dr. Markus Schwaiger. Ant, anterior; Lat, lateral; Inf, inferior; Sep, septum. Fallavolita J et al, J Nucl Cardiol 2010; 17:1107-15 AdreView: new evidence from a Heart Failure patient study ADreView Myocardial Imaging for Risk Evaluation in Heart Failure Study Jacobson et al., JACC, 2010 Objective Primary objective • To demonstrate the prognostic value of the H/M ratio of AdreView for identifying subjects at higher risk of an adverse cardiac event Secondary objectives • To quantify the risks for adverse cardiac events due to heart failure and arrhythmias • To assess myocardial sympathetic innervation H/M ratio as a continuous variable Adverse cardiac events Heart failure progression • Progression of heart failure stage from one NYHA class to the other • NYHA II to III or IV – NYHA III to IV Life threatening arrhythmia • Sustained ventricular tachyarrhythmia • Appropriate ICD discharge • Aborted cardiac arrest Terminal cardiac death • Sudden Cardiac Death • Progressive heart failure death • Myocardial Infarction • Cardiac surgery complication Patients characteristics Variable Data Range Mean Age (yr) 62.4 20-90 Gender (M/F) (%) 80/20 - 75/14/11 - NYHA II/III (%) 83/17 - HF Etiology (I/NI) (%) I=Ischemic; NI=Non-ischemic 66/34 - Mean LVEF (%) 27 5-35 Median Follow-up (mo) 17 0.1-27 ACE Inhibitor*/ARB** (%) 94 Beta Blocker (%) 92 ARA*** (%) 35 - 12.8 - Race (White/Black/Other) (%) 2-year mortality rate (%) *ACE inhibitors: Angiotensin Converting Enzyme Inhibitors **ARB: Angiotensin Receptor Blockers ***ARA: Aldosterone Receptor Antagonist Finding The study supports a cut-off value for stratifying the risk of an adverse cardiac event H/M ratio ≥1.6 – low risk H/M ratio <1.6 – high risk Kaplan-Meier estimates of ACE free probability H/M ratio 237 subjects had an adverse cardiac event on primary analysis ACE free probability (%) 201 subject 25 events H/M ratio ≥1.60; ACE free probability = 85% 35% 22 % 760 subjects 212 events *p=0.0001 vs H/M ratio≥1.60 H/M ratio <1.60; ACE free probability = 63% Time (months) Separation from groups is evident within the first two months 35% greater probability of not experiencing an adverse cardiac event for patients with an H/M ratio ≥1.6 vs. those with H/M ratio <1.6 18 Estimates of arrhythmia free probability H/M ratio Negative Predictive Value of arrhythmia likelihood is 96% 201 subjects 6 arrhythmias NPV 96% for arrhythmias21 Arrhythmia free probability (%) 64 patients had an arrhythmia on secondary analysis H/M ratio≥1.60: 2-year event-free survival 96% Greater arrhythmiafree survival at 2 years for patients with H/M ratio ≥1.6 vs. those with H/M ratio of <1.6 760 subjects 58 arrhythmias *p=0.002 vs H/M ratio≥1.60 H/M ratio<1.60: 2-year event-free survival 85%* Time (months) Kaplan-Meier estimates of ACE incidence LVEF ACE Cumulative incidence (%) LVEF 30% MADIT II threshold on ACE 50 p<0.0001 490 subjects 154 events 40 30 LVEF<30% LVEF≥30% 20 471 subjects 83 events 10 0 0 6 12 18 24 Months ACE incidence H/M ratio vs. LVEF ACE Cumulative incidence (%) H/M ratio 1.6 ADMIRE-HF threshold vs. LVEF 30% MADIT II threshold on ACE 50 LVEF<30%, H/M<1.60* 409 subjects 142 events *p=0.0004 40 †p=0.024 LVEF≥30%, H/M<1.60† 30 81 subjects 12 events LVEF<30%, H/M≥1.60* 20 351 subjects 70 events LVEF≥30%, H/M≥1.60† 10 120 subjects 13 events 0 0 6 12 18 24 Months H/M ratio 1.6 threshold provides additional information over EF 30% threshold Correlazione tra morte cardiaca e il rapporto cuore/mediastino (H/M) alla scintigrafia con MIBG con acquisizione tardiva in pazienti con insufficienza cardiaca. Jacobson AF et al, J Am Coll Cardiol 2010 Difference in appropriate ICD therapy between patients with a large or small 123-I MIBG SPECT Boogers MJ et al, J Am Coll Cardiol 2010 Incidence of Death and Arrhythmic Events according to LVEF & Heart/Mediastinum Ratio Shah et al, JACC: Cardiovascular Imaging 2012 DIABETIC PATIENTS: PROGRESSION TO HF Gerson MC et al, Circ Cardiovasc Imaging 2011 Il Ruolo delle Società Scientifiche Affidarsi ai principi dell’Appropriatezza, richiede una duplice revisione di posizioni, spesso estreme e conflittuali: 1. i professionisti, non devono inquadrare il principio dell’appropriatezza nella strategia dei tagli incondizionati 2. i decisori, accettando che perseguire l’appropriatezza non serve a ridurre i costi, ma solo ad ottimizzare l’impiego delle risorse, devono “mettere a fuoco” la dimensione dell’inappropriatezza in difetto, per non rischiare di rallentare la diffusione delle innovazioni di provata efficacia. Il Ruolo delle Società Scientifiche • Per attuare tale meccanismo virtuoso di valutazione occorre che le società scientifiche siano attori proattivi nell’iter di valutazione delle innovazioni tecnologiche e dei percorsi. • Valutazioni “ad hoc” condivise con tutti i diversi portatori di interesse. European Journal of Public Health 2011