Autorità per le garanzie nelle comunicazioni Quarterly Telecommunication Markets Observatory (*) - Updated to 30 September 2014 - (*) – Data provided by operators and elaborated by Agcom. -1- Index Focus – Price in the sector 1. Fixed network: access lines (total) 2. Fixed network: access lines (new entrants) 3. Fixed network: retail broadband access lines 4. Mobile lines: MNO + MVNO 5. Mobile lines: MNO 6. Mobile lines: by customer/contract type (MNO) 7. Mobile lines: MVNO 8. Mobile broadband (MNO+MVNO) 9. Mobile telephony: number portability -2- Focus – Telecommunications prices in Europe [1] Fixed voice 30,0 25,0 26,8 26,5 20,0 15,0 10,0 5,0 Mobile voice and data 24,6 - 22,4 7,7 23,0 16,0 Mobile broadband (**) 21,3 Ita EU (*) Fixed broadband Fixed Network – Italy is in line with Europen average price value for traditional fixed voice service, and above the average prices for broadband services Mobile network – Italy is above the average prices for bundle offers (data and voice), but lower for only data mobile service [1] – Data (July 2014) make reference to average prices (with respect to £ (PPP)/mese) of some baskets of services designed to catch different consumers profile. For greater details, looking at Ofcom, “The Telecommunications market 2014” (Dec. 2014) – pages 83-113 (Chap. “2.Comparative international pricing” and “Appendix B, - Comparative international pricing methotology “, pages. 338-365 http://stakeholders.ofcom.org.uk/market-data-research/market-data/communications-market-reports/cmr14/ (*) – Average value of Germany, France , Spain, UK (**) - Values about “dedicated data-only mobile broadband connections” Source: Agcom evaluation on Ofcom data -3- 1. Fixed network: access lines (total) (1) 3Q2014 24,00 21,75 21,21 20,64 20,00 7,59 7,75 7,86 7,89 7,84 7,88 7,97 Lines [mln] 16,00 8,05 7,99 Tiscali 2,0% Others 3,5% Vodafone 9,6% 12,00 8,00 BT Italia 0,4% 14,16 14,00 13,78 13,55 13,37 13,21 13,03 12,83 12,65 Fastweb 10,0% 4,00 0,00 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 Telecom Italia fixed access lines 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 Telecom Italia 61,3% Wind 13,2% OLO access lines On yearly basis, direct fixed access lines decreased by about 560 thousands (-1.1 millions in the last two year). 3Q2013 In the last two years the customer base of Telecom Italia, has decreased by about 1.5 million lines. Of these, only 400 thousand (25%) has been “recovered” by OLOs. In the last twelve months, Telecom Italia’s market share further decreased by 1.7%, to 61.3%. Fastweb confirms his growth trend, reaching a market share about 10% (YoY +0.9%). The market share of the other main OLOs remain stables only Wind decrease his market share (-0.3%). Vodafone 9,4% BT Italia 0,3% Tiscali 2,0% Others 2,7% Fastweb 9,1% The weight of other operators has grown (+0.8%), mainly due FWA services. Wind 13,5% Source: Agcom evaluation on data provided by operators (1) Including Telecom Italia physical access, full unbundling (voice and data), SLU, Dsl Naked, WLR, FWA and fiber lines. Telecom Italia 63,0% -4- 2. Fixed network: access lines (new entrants) 9,00 Lines [mln] 8,00 0,24 7,99 7,84 7,59 0,28 0,38 0,36 0,32 0,41 0,45 0,49 3Q2014 0,52 7,00 Tiscali 5,1% 6,00 5,00 5,18 5,26 5,35 5,38 5,36 5,38 5,42 5,49 5,39 0,28 0,29 0,30 0,29 0,30 0,30 0,31 0,31 0,31 1,06 1,11 1,12 1,11 1,10 1,11 1,13 1,13 0,83 0,80 0,77 0,74 0,70 0,67 0,66 0,64 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 Others 9,1% Wind 34,2% 4,00 3,00 2,00 1,00 0,00 3Q12 Wholesale Line Rental Naked dsl 3Q13 Fiber 1,16 Vodafone 24,8% 0,61 3Q14 Unbundling (voice, voice + data) (1) FWA On a yearly basis the number of accesses lines grew by about 150 thousands (400 thousands compared to September 2012), slight decreasing with respect to the previous quarter (-60 thousands). Full LLU lines (1) remain stable, mainly due the growth of SLU services (150 thousand at end of September), while the WLR lines decreased by about 90 thousands. With respect to access lines indicator, Wind ranks at the first place (34.2%), while it has experienced a decline on a YoY by 2.3%. FWA access exceed 500 thousands lines, with principal operators in this market segment Linkem (41.9%), NGI (28.9%) and Aria (24.5%).(2) Source: Agcom evaluation on data provided by operators Fastweb 25,8% BT Italia 1,0% (1) – Including virtual LLU and Subloop ULL. 3Q2013 Tiscali 5,3% Others 7,2% Wind 36,5% Vodafone 25,4% Fastweb 24,6% (2) – Including Aria, Linkem, Mandarin and Go Internet (ex WaveMax) and NGI BT Italia 0,9% -5- 3. Fixed network: retail broadband access lines 14,50 14,00 13,50 14,23 13,94 13,68 0,54 0,59 0,67 0,64 0,71 0,79 0,91 1,04 3Q2014 1,17 Lines [mln] 13,00 12,50 Tiscali 3,4% 12,00 11,50 13,14 13,17 13,28 13,29 13,23 13,22 13,23 13,16 13,06 11,00 Vodafone 12,3% Others 6,1% Fastweb 14,2% 10,50 Telecom Italia 48,7% 10,00 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 DSL 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 Wind 15,2% Other technologies YoY, broadband lines growth of about +290 thousands. Compared with last June, the customer base increased by about +30 thousands lines. From the beginning of the year the number of xDSL lines has decreased by about -170 thousand. The access lines that use other technologies reached about 1.2 million, mainly due to FWA lines (+104 thousands) and NGA lines (+277 thousands). NGA lines (640 thousands as a whole) represent the 4,5% of the broadband lines (2,3% in September) Telecom Italia market share has been reduced on a yearly basis of 0.8%, falling to 48.7%. Also Wind has lost market share (-0.7%) reaching a value of 15.2%. 3Q2013 Tiscali Vodafone 3,7% 11,8% Fastweb 13,7% Fastweb and Vodafone are the main beneficiaries (+0.5%), and mainly FWA operators (+0.6%) as smaller companies. Compared with 3Q13, Wind market share shows a slight decrease (-0.6%) Source: Agcom evaluation on data provided by operators Others 5,5% Telecom Italia 49,5% Wind 15,9% -6- 4. Mobile lines: MNO + MVNO 100,00 3Q2014 Lines [mln] 95,00 90,00 85,00 96,92 97,18 97,20 97,56 97,34 96,85 96,32 95,84 H3G 10,3% Poste Mobile 3,3% Mvno Others 3,7% Telecom Italia 32,1% 94,65 80,00 75,00 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 Wind 23,0% Vodafone 27,5% 3Q2013 Compared to previous quarter, the customer base decreased by about 1.2 million lines. The reduction reaches -2.7 millions on yearly basis, value obtained through a reduction of 4.4 millions for the MNO and a growth of 1.7 for MVNO. A pronounced decrease of Vodafone market share (-2.1%) is recorded, from this reduction takes advantage mainly the MVNO (+2.9%); H3G increases his market share (+0.5%) taking advantage from Telecom Italia (-0.4%). At the end there has been a reduction of market concentration. H3G 9,8% Wind 23,0% Poste Mobile 2,8% Mvno Others 2,3% Telecom Italia 32,5% Vodafone 29,6% -7- 5. Mobile lines: MNO 95,00 3Q2014 Lines [mln] 90,00 85,00 Telecom Italia 34,5% H3G 11,1% 92,56 92,72 92,54 92,68 92,34 91,66 90,60 89,28 87,97 Wind 24,8% 80,00 75,00 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 Vodafone 29,6% 3Q14 From the beginning of the year the customer base has declined more than 3.7 million. YoY the “only voice” sim decreased about 11.1 million (-16.3 million with respect to September 2012). In the same time, the number of prepaid lines decreased by 3.8 millions, but, although to a lesser extent, also the number of postpaid lines decreased (-600 thousands). YoY, voice traffic (more than 118 billion minutes) increased by 5.8%. In the same time the SMS traffic continues to decline (with 36 billion SMS sent, the reduction is about 41% on an yearly basis). 3Q2013 Telecom Italia 34,2% H3G 10,4% Wind 24,3% Vodafone 31,2% Source: Agcom evaluation on data provided by operators -8- 6. Mobile lines: by customer/contract type (MNO) Customer type Lines [mln] 80,85 80,00 60,00 40,00 20,00 0,00 11,72 3Q12 79,97 12,37 3Q13 Business lines Market share by customers – 3Q2014 (%) Contract type 74,59 13,38 75,21 80,00 60,00 40,00 20,00 0,00 17,35 Residential lines 18,80 Residential 69,76 Business 3Q13 Postpaid lines H3G 4,9% (5,7) Wind 10,5% (6,8) H3G (11,0) 12,1% 18,21 Wind 28,1% 3Q12 3Q14 73,54 3Q14 Prepaid lines Voda 30,0% Customer type (1) The 79.3% of active lines are "prepaid“ (79.6% compared to September 2013). In two years, the postpaid lines increased, in absolute terms, by about 870 thousands, while the prepaid decreased, by more than 5.5 millions. In the “prepaid” market, with respect to September 2013, Telecom Italia (-0.2%) and Vodafone (-1.5%) decrease their market shares, while Wind reached 29% growing by some 0.8% YoY. Telecom Italia leads the "postpaid" segment with 42.4% of market share Voda 30,1% (30,6) (31,7) Business customers (13.4 millions of SIM in September) increased on a yearly basis by about 1 million lines, while the residential segment (74.6 millions of SIM) experienced a decrease by about 5.4 millions. The business segment’s market share increased by 1.8% (from 13.4% to 15.2% of the total customer base). The first operator in the residential segment is Vodafone (30.0%), followed by Telecom Italia (29.8%) and Wind (28.1%). Contract type (1) TI 29,8% (29,6) TI 54,5% (57,0) Market share by contracts – 3Q2014 (%) Prepaid Wind 29,0% (28,2) H3G 9,1% (8,2) Postpaid TI 31,5% (31,7) Wind 11,6% (11,9) Voda 30,4% (31,9) Voda 28,8% H3G 17,3% (17,4) TI 42,4% (40,4) (30,3) (the corresponding values for September 2013 are shown in brackets) Source: Agcom evaluation on data provided by operators (1) - As a result of reclassifications and updates of corporate databases operated by Wind, the data are not entirely consistent with previous Observatory’s review -9- 7. Mobile lines: MVNO 3Q2014 7,0 6,0 Lycamobile 12,5% Lines [mln] 5,0 Others 13,6% 4,0 3,0 2,0 4,36 4,46 4,66 4,88 5,00 5,19 5,72 6,56 6,68 Erg Mobile 5,6% Poste Mobile 47,8% Coop Italia 8,1% 1,0 0,0 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 Fastweb 12,4% 3Q2013 The MVNO subscribers continue to grow, reaching 6.7 million and on an yearly basis of 1.68 million, half of which can be attributable to Lycamobile that started the activity at the beginning of the year. This one, with 12.5% of market share is the second operator. Poste Mobile, with 47.8% of market share, lost 7.2% with respect to September 2013, but recover with respect to June (+ 0.4%). On an annual basis the MVNO traffic (*) grows by over 40% while the text messages sent are reduced by about 15%. Others 13,5% Lycamobile 0,0% Erg Mobile 6,8% Coop Italia 8,5% Fastweb 16,2% (*) - Poste Mobile 55,0% During 2013 it was not in the market Lycamobile. Source: Agcom evaluation on data provided by operators - 10 - 8. Mobile broadband (MNO+MVNO) Sim data traffic (*1000) Connect card (*1000) 10.000 45.000 40.000 35.000 30.000 25.000 20.000 15.000 10.000 5.000 0 8.000 -4,8% +18,0% 6.000 35.579 41.966 4.000 6.910 6.575 2.000 0 3Q13 3Q13 3Q14 3Q14 Data traffic from the b.y. (terabyte) In 3Q2014, SIMs that made broadband data traffic reached about 42 millions (+18% YoY) and in the last two years increased from to 29% to 44% of total customer base. The dedicated connect card declined by 4.8%, while in the mean time strong growth for which is foresees a dedicated “data subscription”. YoY, data traffic has grown by 45.5%, correspondingly observed last year (+33.7%). more than 400.000 350.000 +45,5% 300.000 360.556 250.000 200.000 247.791 150.000 100.000 3Q13 Source: Agcom evaluation on data provided by operators 3Q14 - 11 - 9. Mobile telephony - number portability 3Q14 - Lines as donor (in the quarter) 80,0 Wind 23,1% 70,0 Mvno 8,0% H3G 16,3% Lines [mln] 60,0 50,0 40,0 30,0 20,0 46,2 49,9 58,7 53,5 63,0 66,1 69,0 71,5 74,2 Voda 29,9% TI 22,6% 3Q14 - Lines as recipient (in the quarter) 10,0 0,0 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 Wind 23,7% 3Q14 Mvno 10,9% H3G 20,9% At the end of September 2014, the number of ported lines exceeds, for all operators 74 millions. YoY MVNO were able to adds more than 1.8 million lines cumulatively, slightly increased with respect to June. Voda 24,9% YoY, a positive trend is present for H3G (+788 thousands) and MVNO (+328 thousands), for MVNO (+328 thousands), instead a negative trend is measured for Vodafone (-538 thousands), Telecom Italia (-377 thousands) and Wind (-201 thousands). TI 19,6% Mobility index (%) (*) From the beginning of the year, the total number of procedures MNP declined by 38% compared to the corresponding value of 2013. 30,0 YoY, the “mobility index” shows a slowdown (from 29.9% to 19.1%). 20,0 29,9 19,1 10,0 0,0 3Q13 Source: Agcom evaluation on data provided by operators (*) – Ratio total lines donated / acquired during 1H2014 and the average overall customer base (excluding m2m) 3Q14 - 12 -