Ebola Massimo Galli DIBIC L. Sacco Università di Milano III Div Mal. Inf, AO Sacco As of October 23, 2014, 450 healthcare personnel are known to have become infected with Ebola, of whom 244 died Ebola: aree interessate da epidemie nell’uomo • Dal 1976 (prima epidemia a Yambuku, DRC ex Zaire) al 2007-2008 (epidemia nel Kasai occidentale, DRC) EBOV causa, secondo i dati del CDC, 1383 casi di EVD, 1378 dei quali nel contesto di 11 epidemie, con un tasso di letalità del 78% Ebola Virus Disease in the Democratic Republic of Congo • The outbreak began in Inkanamongo village in the vicinity of Boende town in Équateur province • Genome revealed Ebola virus (EBOV, and has sequencing been confined to that province. A total Zaire as the cause or of confirmed this outbreak. of 69 species) suspected, probable, cases • A coding-complete genome of EBOV 7, were reported between Julysequence 26 and October that isolated this outbreak showed 2014,was including 8 during cases among health care 99.2% identity with the most closely related workers, with 49 deaths. As of October 7, variant from theapproximately 1995 outbreak Kikwit in the there havebeen sixingenerations DRC and 96.8% to outbreak EBOV variants of cases of EVDidentity since the began.that The are currently circulating in Westpeaked Africa. reported weekly case incidence in the weeks of August 17 and 24 and has since fallen sharply. Maganga et al. NEJM 2014; oct 15 Perché così tanti casi di EVD ? • I paesi colpiti più popolosi di quelli colpiti in passato. • Il virus ha potuto rapidamente raggiungere le capitali • Si tratta inoltre di paesi molto poveri, due su tre dei quali sono reduci da spaventose guerre civili. • L’area colpita per prima è stata oggetto di intensiva deforestazione • Non è stato possibile finora tracciare validamente i contatti delle persone colpite • I dati filogenetici fanno risalire (a oggi) l’epidemie in Sierra Leone e Liberia a contatti interumani, senza l’interposizione di animali serbatoio o altri animali infetti • The estimated basic reproduction numbers (R0) are 1.71 (95% CI, 1.44 to 2.01) for Guinea, 1.83 (1.72 to 1.94) for Liberia, and 2.02 (1.79 to 2.26) for Sierra • Assuming no change in the control measures Leone. this epidemic, by November 2, 2014, the • for Al 25/10 riportati 10.144 casi: effetto • The estimated current reproduction numbers (R) aredelle 1.81 cumulative reported numbers of confirmed and misure di prevenzione, rallentamento (95% CI, 1.60 to 2.03) for Guinea, 1.51 (1.41 to 1.60) cases predicted 5740 in dell’epidemia o are sottonotifica?? forprobable Liberia, and 1.38 (1.27 to 1.51) to for be Sierra Leone; • The corresponding times are5000 15.7 days (95% CI, Guinea, 9890 doubling in Liberia, and in Sierra 12.9 to 20.3) for Guinea, 23.6 days (20.2 to 28.2) for Leone, exceeding 20,000 in total. Liberia, and 30.2 days (CI, 23.6 to 42.3) for Sierra Leone. Effects of immunising asymptomatic infections on Liberia outbreak projections Bellan et al. Lancet 15 Oct 2014; published online How many asymptomatic infections? • Evidence suggests that many EBOV infections are asymptomatic. Particularly,results from one post-Ebola outbreak serosurvey in Gabon1 showed that 71% of seropositive individuals did not have the disease; another study2 reported that 46% of asymptomatic close contacts of patients with Ebola were seropositive. 1Heffernan 2 et alJ Infect Dis 2005; 191: 964–68. Leroy et al.Lancet 2000; 355: 2210–15. Si possono trovare anticorpi anti Ebola in persone sane senza precedenti noti di malattia? IgG anti EBOV nel 15,3% dei 4.349 abitanti di 220 villaggi in Questi dati sollevano Gabon. importanti domande riguardo: La prevalenza sale nei villaggi più - la patogenicità EBOV, vicini alla foresta edicon l’età, ma - lavaria possibilità di infezioni non dopo i 20 anni. lievi o paucisintomatiche, Non altri fattori di rischio per - la possibilità di di precedente EBOV, ne evidenza immunizzazione e di malattia. I dati suggeriscono l’esposizione protezione naturale, a- una fonte d’infezione di l’esistenza di reazioni accesso facile generalizzato, crociate cone altri filovirus come esempio la frutta nonad patogeni contaminata da saliva di pipistrello. Becquart et al PLoS One 2010,5: e9126 Transmissione. 1: da serbatoi animali • Ebola viene introdotto nelle popolazioni umane mediante contatto diretto con sangue, secrezioni, fluidi corporei di animali infetti. • In Africa sono state documentate infezioni dopo contatto con alcune specie animali, in alcune delle quali (ad esempio lo scimpanzè, il gorilla e alcune specie di cefalofi) l’infezione, ha esiti di regola letali (specie amplificatrici), mentre altre, che comprendono varie specie di pipistrelli frugivori, rappresentano il più probabile serbatoio dell’infezione. La trasmissione di EBOV dal serbatoio naturale Prediction and prevention of the next pandemic zoonosis • La maggior parte delle infezioni pandemiche, come HIV/AIDS, SARS, influenza—originano in animali, sono causate da virus, e sono portate ad emergere da fattori ecologici o socioeconomici. • Nonostante i sostanziali effetti delle infezioni pandemiche sulla salute pubblica globale e la crescente comprensione dei processi mediante i quali emergono, nessuna di esse è stata prevista prima che si manifestasse Morse SS et al. Lancet.2012; 380: 1956–65 Esempi di RNA virus zoonotici recentemente ‘emersi’ Agente (famiglia) Data isolamento Animale fonte (principale) Via di trasmissione Trasmissione interumana Marburg 1967 Rousettus aegyptiacus C Pochi cicli Ebola 1976 Hypsignathus monstrosus C Pochi cicli HIV-1 1983 Pan troglodites troglodytes S/P/V Si HIV-2 1986 Cercocebus atys atys S/P/V Si Sin Nombre 1993 Peromyscus maniculatus A/(C) ? Nipah 1998 Pteropus hypomelanus C/(A) Rara SARS CoV 2003 Rhinolophus ferrumequinum A/C Si MERS CoV 2012 Taphozus perforatus (?) A/C Si (Filoviridae) (Filoviridae) (Retroviridae) (Retroviridae) (Bunyaviridae) (Paramixoviridae) (Coronaviridae) (Coronaviridae) (pandemico) (diff. limitata) A= aerea; C= contatto; P= parenterale; S= sessuale; V= verticale Ebolavirus • Il genere Ebolavirus comprende 5 specie distinte: - Ebola* virus (EBOV) Sudan virus (SUDV) Reston virus (RESTV) Taï Forest virus (TAFV) Bundibugyo virus (BDBV) • La differenza interspecie varia tra il 37% e il 41% a livello nucleotidico e dal 34% al 43% a livello aminoacidico * precedentemente denominato Ebola Zaire Carrol et al. J. Virol. 2013, 87: 2608-16 Ebola Reston • Ebola Reston viene identificato nel 1989 negli • Del tutto inaspettatamente, in M.fascicularis a USA partire dal 2008, sonoin cattività e successivamente stati individuati focolai di nelle Filippine in esemplari infezione ad elevata letalità in in libertà allevamenti di maiali nelle Filippine. • L’infezione ha elevata ma in • È letalità possibilenelle che scimmie, il serbatoio non hasiaavuto effetti di da natura rappresentato rilievo neiamplexicaudatus 25 casi umani Rousettus documentati. Macaca fascicularis R.amplexicaudatus • A novel filovirus, provisionally named Lloviu virus (LLOV), was detected during the investigation of Miniopterus schreibersii die-offs in Cueva del Lloviu in Spain. • LLOV is genetically distinct from other marburgviruses and Mononegavirales ebolaviruses and is the first filovirus detected in Europe Phylogenetic Analysis of the Ebolavirus Genus, Including the EBOV Strains from Guinea. • La posizione più ‘basale’ del clade della Guinea ne suggerisce la derivazione da un serbatoio locale e depone contro un’introduzione di un ceppo di EBOV coinvolto nelle epidemie in Gabon e Congo. Baize et al. NEJM 2104 Tutte le epidemie da EBOV sono state causate da ceppi diversi tra loro • Studi filogenetici su sequenze virali da carcasse di animali e da persone infettate dimostrano che i virus implicati sono diversi tra loro in tempi e in luoghi diversi, mentre sono molto simili le sequenze ottenute da uomini e animali durante la stessa epidemia e nella stessa area geografica. • Teoria dello spillover: ogni epidemia è stata generata dall’emergere ex novo dal serbatoio animale di un ceppo diverso dai precedenti. • Fino ad oggi, prima di quella in corso, tutte le epidemie si sono esaurite dopo pochi passaggi interumani. Ebola e pipistrelli: evidenze e incongruenze • La prevalenza di anticorpi • Anticorpi anti EBOV anti EBOV e il tasso di PCR sarebbero stati positive non sono così elevati evidenziati in da far pensare a un’infezione R.lescehnaulti in molto diffusa nelle diverse Bangladesh (prevalenza specie trovate positive 3.5%) (Olival et al 2013), • In molti paesi in cui i in R. leschenaulti, P. pipistrelli sono presenti Ebola pipistrellus e Myotis non si è mai visto. spp in Cina (Yuan et al. 2012) e in Pongo • Presenza selettiva del virus pygmaeus in Kalimantan nelle diverse colonie e sua (Nidom et al. 2012) assenza in alcune aree Rousettus aegyptiacus geografiche? Areale di distribuzione di Hypsignathus monstrosus Egyptian fruit bat Rousettus aegyptiacus Geographic range L’Ebola è un prezzo inaccettabile per il bushmeat Mercato a Brazzaville, Repubblica del Congo Duikers and Ebola • Duikers are small to medium-sized antelopes native to Sub-Saharan Africa. • The 22 extant species form the subfamily Cephalophinae, which includes 3 genera (Cephalophus, Philantomba and Sylvicapra). • Duikers generally live alone or in pairs (limited interactions). • Some duikers, despite being herbivorous, in addition to being directly infected by the natural host(s), might also become infected by licking or eating fresh carcasses of infected animals Philantomba monticola The blue duiker, occasionally found to be infected by EBOV Transmission. 2: Trasmissione interumana • Risulta da contatti diretti di cute o mucose con sangue, secrezioni, fluidi corporei di persone infettate e da contatti indiretti con contesti ambientali contaminati da tali fluidi. • La trasmissione avviene prevalentemente in contesto familiare, in occasione di •cerimonie funebri, negli ospedali durante le fasi inizialidadelle epidemie e se • Non è provata la trasmissione soggetti asintomatici non vengono tempestivamente e correttamente messe in atto le misure di contenimento. • Il rischio di trasmissione è massimo in seguito a contatto con paziente sintomatico con manifestazioni emorragiche o con cadaveri di deceduti per EVD Is sexual transmission possible ? • Men who have recovered from the disease can still transmit the virus through their semen for up to 7 weeks after recovery from illness. Assessment of the Risk of Ebola Virus Transmission from Bodily Fluids and Fomites • Ebola virus was detected by culture and/or PCR in 16 of 54 clinical specimens (including saliva, stool, semen, breast milk, tears, nasal blood, and a skin swab) from 26 laboratory-confirmed cases and in 2 of 33 environmental specimens. • EBOV is shed in a wide variety of bodily fluids during the acute period of illness but the risk of transmission from fomites in an isolation ward and from convalescent patients is low when currently recommended infection control guidelines for the viral hemorrhagic fevers are followed. Bausch et al JID 2007; 196 Suppl 2:S142-7. The survival of filoviruses in liquids, on solid substrates and in a dynamic aerosol • Survival of EBOV and MARV) in liquid media in tissue culture media (closed shapes) and guinea pig sera (open shapes) over 46 days at 4C (a) and room temperature (b), was assessed by the TCID50 microtitre plate assay over time. Piercy et al. J Appl Microbiol 2010;109, 1531–1539 Ebola virus RNA copy levels in sera over time from 45 EVD patients (27 fatal, 18 non-fatal) Ebola virus RNA levels at the time of fever and symptom onset are typically low (near the detection threshold limits) and in some patients may not be reliably detectable during the first 3 days of Towner et al. J Virol. 2004;78:4330-4341. illness Ebola virus detection by RT-PCR in body fluids collected from EVD patients during an outbreak in Gulu, Uganda and the maximum described persistence after symptom onset described in the literature Body Fluid Acute phase n detected/n tested (percent) Convalescent phase n detected/n tested (percent) Last day detected after symptom onset described in the literature Skin 1/8 (13%) 0/4 (0%) 6 Saliva 8/12 (67%) 0/4 (0%) 8 Urine 0/7 (0%) 0/4 (0%) 23 Stool / Feces 2/4 (50%) n/d 29 Breast milk 1/1 (100%) 1/1 (100%) Comments Ebola virus antigen has been detected in the urine in other studies20 15 Ebola infects circulating macrophages which are present in breast milk16 Sexual transmission of Marburg virus (but not Ebola virus) has been described36 Semen n/d 1/2 (50%) 101 Vaginal fluid n/d n/d 33 Case definition recommendations for Ebola or Marburg Virus Diseases As of 09 August 2014 Standard definition for contacts persons of Ebola or Marburg cases • Ebola or Marburg case contacts: Any person having been exposed to a suspect, probable or confirmed case of Ebola or Marburg in at least one of the following ways: - has slept in the same household with a case - has had direct physical contact with the case (alive or dead) during the llness - has had direct physical contact with the (dead) case at the funeral - has touched his/her blood or body fluids during the illness - has touched his/her clothes or linens - has been breastfed by the patient (baby) • Provided that this exposure has taken place less than 21 days before the identification as a contact by surveillance teams. • Re-examining the samples delivered to a reference center for the diagnosis of Lassa fever in Sierra Leone (where, as in areas bordering Guinea and Liberia disease is hyperendemic) a compatible serology for acute infection with Ebola virus was found in 8.2% of febrile patients tested negative for Lassa fever. EID 2014 Jul;20:1176-82 EVD: clinica Ebola hemorrhagic fever: pathogenesis • The final event of serious Ebola infection is a shock resulting from systemic viral replication, immunosuppression, increased vascular permeability and coagulopathy. Human fatal zaire ebola virus infection is associated with an aberrant innate immunity and with massive lymphocyte apoptosis • 42 nonsurvivors vs 14 survivors from the five outbreaks occurred between 1996 and 2003 in Gabon and Republic of Congo. • Fatal outcome was associated with: -Hypersecretion of proinflammatory cytokines (IL-1β, IL-1RA, IL-6, IL-8, IL-15 and IL-16), -Hypersecretion of chemokines and growth factors (MIP-1α, MIP-1β, MCP-1, M-CSF, MIF, IP-10, GRO-α and eotaxin). -No increase of IFNα2 was detected in patients. low levels of IL-2, IL-3, IL-4, IL-5, IL-9, IL-13 -Significant drop of CD3+CD4+ and CD3+CD8+ -High increase in CD95 expression on T lymphocytes. Wauquier et al PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2010, 4(10). pii: e837. Incubation period • The incubation period, that is, the time interval from infection with the virus to onset of symptoms, is 2 to 21 days (according to the last data, the mean incubation period is 11 days) • Abrupt onset of fever, chills, nonspecific signs and symptoms. Clinical Features: stage 1, unspecific • Extreme asthenia (body weakness) • Diarrhea, nausea and vomiting, anorexia abdominal pain • Headaches • Arthralgia (neuralgic pain in joints) • Myalgia (muscular pain or tenderness), back pain. • Mucosal redness of the oral cavity, dysphagia (difficulty in swallowing) • Conjunctivitis. • Erythematous maculopapular rash all over body except in face, most noticeable in fair-skinned individuals. Demographic Characteristics in Confirmed and Probable Ebola Case Patients with aDefinitive Clinical Outcome in Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, and Sierra Leone • Estimated case fatality rate among persons with known clinical outcome of infection was 70.8% (95% CI, 69 to 73). WHO Ebola response group. N Engl J Med 2014;371:1481-95 Time from onset of illness to death in 25 fatal cases of Marburg and Ebola HF • Death occurs mostly during the second week of illness in patients without a demonstrable antibody response. • The main autopsy findings consist of extensive bleeding, The medianhepatocellular necrosis, widespread survival is 9lymphatic days. loss of tissue • In survivors convalescence is prolonged, with persistent fatigue, weight loss,skin desquamation and loss of hairs. • The virus can persist for weeks or months in the anterior chamber of the eye and testes (sexual transmissionis theoretically possible). All Died Recovered OR WHO Ebola response group. N Engl J Med 2014;371:1481-95 Manifestazioni emorragiche WHO Ebola response group. N Engl J Med 2014;371:1481-95 EVD hemorragic manifestations Lassa Fever in West Africa: Evidence for an Expanded Region of Endemicity • Lassa fever is a public health problem in Sierra Leone/ Guinea/ Liberia (the Mano River region) and Nigeria. • There is evidence for an expanded endemicity zone in southern Mali, Burkina Faso,Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana, which shares a similar ecozone (Tropical Wooded Savanna). • The disease is a zoonosis due to a ss RNA virus of the Arenaviridae, family and the animal reseivoir is Mastomys natalensis. • The incident cases of LHF are 100,000-300,000 each year with about 5,000 deaths (overall fatality rate ≈ 1%), with a 15%-20% fatality rate in patients hospitalized. The clinically approved drugs amiodarone, dronedarone and verapamil inhibit filovirus cell entry. • Amiodarone, a multi-ion channel inhibitor and adrenoceptor antagonist, is a potent inhibitor of filovirus cell entry at concentrations that are routinely reached in human serum during antiarrhythmic therapy. • A similar effect was observed with the amiodaronerelated agent dronedarone and the L-type calcium channel blocker verapamil. Gehring et al. J Antimicrob Chemother 2014 Ebola vaccines • Two candidate vaccines have clinical-grade vials available for phase 1 pre-licensure clinical trials. • cAd3-ZEBOV has been developed by GSK in collaboration with the US NIAID. It uses a chimpanzee-derived adenovirus vector with an Ebola virus gene inserted. • rVSV-ZEBOV was developed by the Public Health Agency of Canada in Winnipeg. The license for commercialization of the Canadian vaccine is held by an American company, the NewLink Genetics company. The vaccine uses an attenuated or weakened vesicular stomatitis virus; one of its genes has been replaced by an Ebola virus gene Perché il rischio di Ebola in Italia è effettivamente basso. • Non voli diretti dai paesi colpiti • I cittadini dei paesi colpiti sono probabilmente meno di 7000 su oltre 3.5 milioni di stranieri residenti in Italia. • I provenienti clandestinamente via mare attraverso il Mediterraneo non costituiscono pericolo in quanto le nazionalità dei paesi colpiti sono virtualmente non rappresentate e perché la lunghezza del precedente viaggio via terra supererebbe comunque il limite massimo di incubazione di EVD. Grazie per l’attenzione