Livorno, October 7th 2010 LEM Conferences Room CONFERENCE of EU INTERREG IVC FLIPPER PROJECT Piero Sassoli – Director General Tiemme S.p.A. TIEMME: Transport Companies Merger PT IN ITALY Backwardness factors Criticità Evidenza NEGATIVE PROFITABILITY • • EBIT equal to -2,3% Public contribution of around €4 billions PRODUCTIVITY GAP • Difference of 20% comparing to the EU average FRAGMENTATION AND SMALL COMPANIES SIZE • • More than 1.200 operators The 1st 5 companies absorbe 27% of the market Italian PT is characterized by several backwardness factors PT IN ITALY Management shape N° of Companies on the basis of workers number 1.300 135 1238 158 1.000 500 0 945 11% 13% 76% Meno di 20 addetti Tra 20 e 100 addetti < 20 workers 20< x < 100 Oltre 100 addetti > 100 workers Totale operatori Total number of companies More than 1.200 companies, 90% of which has less than 100 workers PT IN ITALY Italian Players Dimension 730 million Euros Main EU operators Revenue (mln. €) 160 million Euros 4.300 3.400 470 million Euros 120 million 2.400 2.300 Arriva Keolis Euros 540 million Euros TOTAL REVENUE OF MILAN, TURIN, BOLOGNA, FLORENCE AND ROME COMPANIES: 2 billion Euros Veolia Transport RATP PT IN ITALY Integration among the different transport modalities (road/rail, urban/periurban) MODAL INTEGRATION Development Axis TERRITORIAL INTEGRATION Creation of widened transport basins (clearing of local dimension) PT IN ITALY Local utilities consolidation process Southern companies Fusione Lombardy tra le aziende della Lombardia meridionale merger AEM Milanotra and ASM Brescia Fusione AEM Milano e ASM Brescia merger The Local Utilities are facing an important competitive market change Fusione tra AEM Torino e AEM Torino and AMGA Genova AMGA Genova merger Multiutility dalla fusione delle Multiutilitynata generated through aziende di servizi pubblici di Parma, Parma, Piacenza andEmilia Reggio Piacenza e Reggio Emilia PT companies merger Multiutility nata dalla Multiutility generated through fusione delle aziende di Romagnole Area companies servizi pubblici dell’area romagnola merger PT IN ITALY Consolidation Drivers International “big player” which buy little local companies PT CONSOLIDATION AXIS Local/Regional companies merger Local Utilities consolidation process, which is determined by two different factors, is affecting also PT sector PT IN ITALY The presence of foreign providers Bergamo Trasporti Lecco Trasporti SIA Brescia SAIA Brescia Trasporti Brescia SAF Udine SAB Bergamo SAL Lecco SADEM Torino Trieste Trasporti SAPAV Pinerolo KM Cremona ASF Como Cremona Trasporti Important foreign providers are playing a significant role on the Italian market scenario CIRCA 100 MILIONI DI 100 million of kilometers CHILOMETRI travelled (on the whole) COMPLESSIVI PT IN ITALY Territorial Aggregations Hypothesis to aggregate Milan and Turin PT companies Liguria: hypothesis of PT reorganization on a regional basis (aggregation of current service basins) Friuli Venezia Giulia: hypothesis of integrating PT services at a regional level (the service is now operated by 4 companies) Veneto: hypothesis of services (road/rail) integration in “CentralVeneto” area (Venice, Padua, Treviso) Marche: integration of services on a provincial basis Hypothesis of integrating provincial basins, starting from merger Bologna and Ferrara companies Abruzzo: hypothesis of merger the 3 PT companies currently participated by the Region Umbria: hypothesis of integrating regional PT operators At the same time, some Italian Regions are now facing territorial aggregation projects PT IN TUSCANY Market Dimensions Kilometers on a Regional Basis (mln. km./year) 236,2 233,4 7% overall national offer 168,9 142,9 141,5 139,8 Total Italy: 1,8 billion Km 129,4 117,5 95,3 69,6 69,5 54,1 52,2 49,4 45,3 44,2 40,7 26,0 20,0 rd eg na Ab ru zz o Ca la br ia M ar ch e Fr iu U li Ve mb ri ne zi a a G iu lia Tr en tin o Ba si lic at a M ol Va is lle e D 'A os ta Sa Li gu ria Pu gl ia ag na Ro m on te Em ili a Pi em sc an a To ne to lia Ve Si ci La z io Ca m pa ni a Lo m ba rd ia 6,2 PT in Tuscany Service structure before TIEMME CAT BLUBUS Cons. Autolinee Pratesi Massa C. Prato VAIBUS Lucca ATAF & LINEA, Più Bus, Autolinee Chianti Valdarno, Autolinee Mugello Valdisieve Pistoia Firenze Arezzo Pisa Livorno Cons. Pisano Trasporti Siena Etruria Mobilità Grosseto ATL/ATM RAMA Mobilità Siena Mobilità Tuscany assigned the operation of the whole road PT by tenders, generally identifying service areas fitting with Province territories PT IN TUSCANY Development Perspectives • The new Regional PT system should aim at clearing the Province territorial dimension, Area costiera by defining 3 integrated road-rail areas (coast, metropolitan area and southern area) • These 3 areas will complement Regional transport which is mainly significant at a local level, while a 4th area for Coast covering Regional railway Metropolitan Area network will be Southern Area identified. TIEMME PROJECT General Framework Massa Carrara Lucca Prato Pistoia Firenze Livorno Pisa Siena Piombino Grosseto Arezzo “Southern Tuscany” project, bases on merger process of PT companies of the cities of Arezzo, Siena, Grosseto and Piombino, concluding with the creation of TIEMME on 01st August 2010 TIEMME PROJECT The objectives • Exploiting the potential coming from companies merger as a tool to enhance competitiveness, by creating a new subject playing a crucial role both at Regional and National level. • Supporting the conditions enhancing services efficiency and quality • Preserve companies value, by protecting shareholders assets: risk of colonization or sale” • Encouraging PT re-launch in Southern Tuscany, as a crucial condition to safeguard and develop occupation “TIEMME” Project bases on several well-defined strategic axis TIEMME PROJECT Stakeholders perspective SHAREHOLDERS CUSTOMERS Improving the service both from a quantitative and qualitative point of view • Enhancing managing and commercial efficiency EMPLOYEES Job protection One of project’s key characteristics is the production of an output for all the involved stakeholders TIEMME PROJECT Aggregated values TOTAL REVENUE (mln €) 35,6 21,7 9,2 26,3 92,8 EMPLOYEES 428 273 125 333 1.159 KILOMETRES (mln km) 12,4 8,3 3,3 12,0 36,0 UP TO 2009 The overall merger could lead to the creation of one single operator producing more than 90 million Euros revenue and having more than 1.100 employees TIEMME PROJECT In the national framework Kilometres covered by the main Italian PT operators (mln. km) 150 141 130 100 100 96 81 74 51 50 0 ATM Trambus Arriva SITA COTRAL GTT CTT* 37 36 36 ATC Bo ANM Na Toscana del Sud The new subject would play a crucial role in the National framework (among the 1st 10 actors of the Country) TIEMME PROJECT Benefits produced by local utilities aggregation EBITDA INCREMENTALE IN % ’EBITDA % INCREMENTAL EBITDA THE ’INITIAL EBITDA EBITDA INCREMENTALE IN ON % SULL SULL ’EBITDA INIZIALE INIZIALE FONTE: ESPERIENZE SOURCE: BAIN & COMPANY BAIN &Experiences COMPANY 21,0% 20,3% range di Reference range riferimento 16,0% 14,3% BEST CASE Operazione A EBITDA Il riferisce ai The figuresi refers to the overall Il grafico grafico si riferisce ai benefici benefici benefits that could beottenibili reached (in (in COMPLESSIVAMENTE COMPLESSIVAMENTE ottenibili (in terms of positive impact of the final termini di impatto positivo sull ’EBITDA ’ termini di impatto positivo sull ’EBITDA EBITDA comparing to the initial one) rispetto all aggregato iniziale) rispetto all’’EBITDA ’EBITDA aggregato iniziale) nell’arco di piano in a ’long-term thanksaato nell’arco di un un perspective piano pluriennale pluriennale Utilities seguito di operazioni aggregazione seguito diaggregation operazioni di diprocesses aggregazione nel settore delle Utilities nel settore delle Utilities WORST CASE Operazione B Operazione C 15-20% 15 / 20% dell’EBITDA Of the initial iniziale Operazione D Bain & Company, reference advisor di riferimento delle principali operazioni di aggregazione nel Bain & Company, advisor on the main merger procedures in the settore delle utilites (es. A2A, Iride, Hera), ha riscontrato sul campo un incremento utilities sector (e.g. A2A, Iride, Hera), found out increase “post merger“ dell’EBITDA “post aggregazione” quantificabile traan il 15 e il 20%of delthe valore di partenza EBITDA between 15 and 20% of the initial value TIEMME PROJECT Arezzo urban-metropolitan integration KEY OBJECTIVES • First step towards a wider convergence perspective in Southern Tuscany -170 addetti -15 million Euro revenue -6,7 million km -170 employees -6 million Euro revenue -1,8 million Euro km -110 employees • Consolidation of competitiveness on a local basis, in order to get ready for the next integradìted tenders • Creation of a more efficient and better organized service network (urban-periurban integration) • Achievement of economic benefits, and industrial efficiency improvement TIEMME PROJECT Arezzo urban-metropolitan integration: synergies Company merger related benefits “COMPANY” SYNERGIES - governance costs reduction - logistical optimization (headquarters) Core processes synergies (operation, “OPERATING” SYNERGIES maintenance) - network optimization possibilities, thanks to service areas territorial contiguity (routes rationalization on common itineraries) - productivity increase linked to a joint management of turn-over - bus park rationalization - money saved thanks to spending power increase - “Activities sharing” related benefits “CORPORATE” SYNERGIES - administration and staff TIEMME PROJECT Overall operation structure ..% ..% TIEMME In Kind Transfer ..% ..% • “TIEMME” project required the creation of a new company (“newco”)where the involved companies (TRAIN, LFI, RAMA, ATM)were acting as shareholders • In particular, former companies got “newco” assets basing on in kind transfers evaluated on a patrimonial basis (in kind patrimonial contribution of each former company to the “newco”) TIEMME PROJECT Business model - - REVENUE - ° • Newco fare for real estate exploitation - COSTS LFI, TRAIN, RAMA, ATM • Real estate depreciation • Extraordinary property maintenance expenses • Financial costs for real estate loans • Administration costs - TPL revenue – service contract and traffic related revenue - Market activities revenue • Service operation, management and maintenance costs • Corporate costs • Administration revenue from “parent companies” • “Parent companies” fares for real estate exploitation TIEMME “Parent Companies” (LFI, TRAIN, RAMA, ATM), besides being newco shareholders, will keep their real estate property rights (headquarters, depots), and receive a fare from newco for property exploitation TIEMME PROJECT Methodology NET ASSETS SELF-START-UP FORECAST Algebraic Sum of Budget Values of assets and liabilities related to the different company branches (discounted back) Income Surplus Value/Capital Loss associated to the activities transferred to the “newco” COMPANY BRANCHES VALUE The contribution of every company was determined basing on a mixed methodology (property-income) and considering transferred activities discounting back and start-up forecast TIEMME PROJECT Bus park evaluation methodology OBJECTIVES • Homogenization of amortization policies among the different companies (real incidence of amortizations on the cost of vehicles between 4,7% and 9,2% on a yearly basis) 100,0% Vehicle value (% on ourchase cost) 80,0 60,0 • Identification of a vehicles value that could be associated to the “real” market value 40,0 20,0 0,0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 18 19 Number of years In order to define bus park value at market value, UNI-ASSTRA methodology was employed: “real” vehicles depreciation was calculated by normalizing different companies amortization policies TIEMME PROJECT Different companies assets in the newco mln € TRAIN LFI RAMA 36,72% 30,32% 30,52% ATM Adjusted Net Assets % assets Start-up Income Overall Value % assets Other Transfers (liquidity/credits) Company Branches Value % assets in the “newco” 2,44 TIEMME PROJECT Industrial plan: inertial scenario 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 BREAK-EVEN OBJECTIVE INITIAL ECONOMIC SITUATION (“time zero”) INERTIAL SCENARIO (costs dynamics increase economic impacts identification) TIEMME PROJECT Reference Framework ADJUSTMENT FEES PUBLIC TRANSPORT MINOR BUSINESS OTHER REVENUES INCREASE PRODUCTIVITY IMPROVEMENT INTERNAL EFFICIENCY ENHANCEMENT INDIRECT STAFF MAINTENANCE PURCHASES GENERAL EXPENDITURES DEVELOPMENT RATIONALIZATION Multi-year objective attainment is based on some crucial strategic axis TIEMME PROJECT Implementation Approach PRODUCTIVITY MANTEINANCE CORPORATE PURCHASE WORKING GROUPS COMMERCIAL SYSTEMS AND TECHNOLOGIES COMPLEMENTARY SERVICES Trade union negotiacion and homogenization of employment rules Reorganization and implementation of maintenance activities and optimization processes Staff and governance reorganization and indirect staff turn-over procedure “Purchase unit” design and implementation New commercial strategy and development opportunities identification Managing of companies convergence process towards an integrated platform Business revitalizattion strategies identification and implementation Industrial plan implementation is managed by the different working groups