Le imprese ITCS Gli attori del mondo delle Telecomunicazioni I consumatori di beni e servizi TLC (“Utenti TLC”) Le agenzie di controllo e regolamentazione (Authority) Le imprese “TelCo” (Telecommunications Company) : Gestori di reti (Network Operator), Fornitori si servizi (Service Provider) Le imprese “ICTS” (Information & Communications Technology Supplier) Fornitori e produttori di apparecchiature e servizi per le Telecomunicazioni Le imprese “ContCo” : Content Provider Le imprese ITCS Le attuali imprese ITCS, fornitori di tecnologie e di servizi agli operatori si dividono in 3 categorie: -Le imprese che hanno fatto la storia della telefonia e che esistono da più di cento anni . -Le imprese che sono più recenti come origine e sono nate in momenti di svolta della tecnologia e/o del contesto socioecomico del mondo delle Telecomunicazioni. -Le cinesi Le imprese storiche Le imprese cosi dette storiche delle Telecomunicazioni sono state capaci di adattarsi velocemente allo sviluppo tecnologico delle Telecomunicazioni e spesso lo hanno guidato . Inoltre son state capaci di adattarsi anche ai cambiamento del contesto socioeconomico in cui si sono trovate ad operare, in alcuni casi cambiando drammaticamente pelle : Nazione Tipologia Svezia Società per azioni Fondazione 1876 a Stoccolma Fondata da Lars Magnus Ericsson Sede principale Stoccolma, Svezia Persone chiave •Michael Treschow, presidente •Carl-Henric Svanberg, presidente e AD Settore Prodotti Telecomunicazioni Sistemi per reti di Telecomunicazione fisse e mobili, Gestione reti per conto terzi(managed services) servizi per utenti Telecom Fatturato 21 miliardi di Euro ( 208.930 miliardi di SEK) (2008) Joint Venture Sony Ericsson (50%) ST Ericsson (50% Dipendenti 78.750 (2008) ,presenza in 140 paesi Slogan Sito web Taking You Forward www.ericsson.com I Nazione Francia Tipologia Società per azioni Fondazione 1 dicembre 2006 in Francia (1898 Alcatel, 1996 Lucent) Sede principale Parigi Persone chiave Ben Verwaayen, Amministratore delegato Philippe Camus, Presidente del consiglio d'amministrazione Settore telecomunicazioni Prodotti Sistemi e servizi di Telecomunicazioni, per rete fissa e mobile Fatturato 16,98 miliardi di EUR] (2008) Dipendenti > 77 000[2] (2009) Slogan Because the world is always on Sito web www.alcatel-lucent.com Le ultime scomparse Nazione Tipologia Fondazione Sede principale Persone chiave Settore Prodotti Fatturato Dipendenti Slogan Sito web Canada Società per azioni 1895 a Montreal 195 The West Mall Toronto (Ontario M9C 5K1) Canada Mike Zafirovski, AD Telecomunicazioni Hardware, Software e Servizi per le telecomunicazioni e le imprese 11.42 miliardi di USD (2006) 33 760 (2006),presenza in 150 paesi Business Made Simple www.nortel.com Il 14 gennaio del 2009 ha fatto richiesta di fallimento assistito. The Marconi Company Ltd. Fu fondata da Guglielmo Marconi in 1897 as The Wireless Telegraph & Signal Company . Cambiò nome in Marconi's Wireless Telegraph Company in 1900 and The Marconi Company in 1963. La ditta ha subito svariate vicissitudini con acquisizioni e fusioni avendo un buon successo non solo nel campo civile ma anche in quello militare , ma è stata praticamnte assente nel radiomobile A Ottobre 2005 Ericsson propose di comprare il nome e gran parte della compagnia. La compra vendita si è conclusa positivamente e dal 1 gennaio 2006 Ericsson e Marconi sono una sola ditta con nome Ericsson. Quello che Ericsson ha comprato US • Former FORE • Data Networks • 700 employees of which 200 R&D UK • Former Plessey and GEC • Narrowband switching, optical, services • Soft switch • 4,100 employees of which 1,000 R&D • Approx. 2,300 stay with telent Germany • Former Bosch • Microwave, services • 1,500 employees of which 400 R&D • Approx. 100 stay with telent Italy • Old Marconi • Optical Network • Network Management • Broadband Access • 1,900 employees of which about 600 R&D Le nuove imprese Le reti a pacchetto Il mobile Nazione Stati Uniti Tipologia Società per azioni Fondazione 1984 a San Jose Sede principale Stati Uniti, San Jose (CA) Settore ICT Prodotti •Switch,Router,Firewall,Telefoni VoIP Fatturato 34,92 miliardi di $ (2007) Utile netto $7,33 miliardi di $ (2007) Dipendenti 65.545 (2009) Slogan Welcome To The Human Network Sito web www.cisco.com Nazione Tipologia Fondazione Fondata da Finlandia Società per azioni 1865 a Nokia come fabbrica di stivali. Nel 1992 punta su i telefoni cellulari Fredrik Idestam Sede principale Espoo •Jorma Ollila, presidente (non esecutivo) •Olli-Pekka Kallasvuo, presidente ed AD Persone chiave •Alessandro Mondini, AD di Nokia Italia S.p.A. Settore Telecomunicazioni Prodotti Telefoni cellulari Decoder satellitari,Mobile gaming device e teleservizi internet based,Sistemi di telecomunicazioni mobile Fatturato Dipendenti Slogan Sito web 50.772 miliardi € (2008) 123.347 (2009)in 120 paesi Connecting People www.nokia.it Nokia Siemens Networks Nazione Tipologia Fondazione Fondata da Sede principale Finlandia Joint venture 2007 Nokia Oyj (50%) Siemens AG (50%) Espoo Persone chiave Simon Beresford-Wylie (Amministratore delegato), Rajeev Suri (Amministratore delegato designato dal 1 ottobre 2009) Luca Maestri (Direttore finanziario) Olli-Pekka Kallasvuo (Presidente del consiglio di amministrazione) Settore Prodotti Dipendenti Sito web Telecomunicazioni Sistemi di Telecomunicazioni per reti fisse e mobili 60 000 (2009) www.nokiasiemensnetworks.com Nazione Tipologia Germania Società per azioni Fondazione 1847 a Berlino, Germania costruivano telefoni Fondatore Werner von Siemens Sede principale Monaco, Germania Persone chiave •Peter Löscher, presidente ed AD Fatturato •Generatori elettrici •Automazione industriale •Illuminazione •Apparecchiature mediche •Computer •Trasporto ferroviario •Purificazione acqua •Finanza •Tecnologia delle costruzioni •Elettrodomestici •Domotica 87,325 miliardi € Dipendenti 480.000 (2007) Slogan Sito web Global Network of Innovation www.siemens.com Prodotti Le cinesi Nazione Tipologia Cina Società a responsabilità limitata (non è quotata in borsa) Fondazione 1988 a Shenzhen Fondata da Ben Zhengfei Sede principale Shenzhen Persone chiave Ben Zhengfei fondatore Settore telecomunicazioni Prodotti Sistemi di Telecomunicazioni per reti mobile e fissa, telefoni cellulari Fatturato 23.300 milioni di USD (2008) Dipendenti circa 87.502 (2008) Sito web www.huawei.com Tipologia Società per azioni a partecipazione statale fondazione 1985 Fondata da Hou Weigui Headquarters Shenzhen Persone chiavi Yin Yimin, CEO and Hou Weigui, chairman Settore Telecommunication Fatturato 30.327 billion RMB (2008) Margine operativo 816 million RMB (JanuarySeptember 2008) Employees 39,266 (2006) Website www.zte.com.cn Le imprese ITCS italiane Durante il periodo del monopolio c’era una florida industria delle Telecomunicazioni in Italia formata da grande aziende quali Italtel, Telettra , Marconi e un numero notevole di medie e piccole aziende. In parallelo durante questo periodo c’erano anche dei grandi insediamenti di multinazionali delle Telecomunicazioni quali Fatme (Ericsson) , Face Standard ( Itt poi Alcatel ) , Siemens. La Fatme è arrivata ad avere in Italia quasi 10000 addetti, la fabbrica di via Anagnina è stata per anni la più grande realtà metalmeccanica del Lazio. Le imprese ITCS italiane Il passaggio dalle centrali elettromeccaniche a quelle elettroniche ridusse notevolmente l’occupazione in fabbrica e la fine del monopolio non consentì di sopravvivere a parecchie realtà italiane grandi e piccole. Solo Italtel delle storiche imprese Italiane sopravvive , ma ancora con una parte del capitale che è di Telecom Italia. Nazione Tipologia Italia Società per azioni Fondazione 1921 Sede principale Settimo Milanese (MI) Filiali Carini (PA) •Roberto Quarta, presidente Persone chiave •Umberto de Julio, amministratore delegato Settore Prodotti Fatturato Telecomunicazioni Sistemi di Teleecomunicazioni di rete fissa 467,8 milioni di € (2008) Dipendenti 2.300 circa (2008) Slogan Roots to the Future Sito web www.italtel.com Portale Aziende Le imprese ITCS italiane Tra le multinazionali Ericsson ha ancora un grosso insediamento in Italia. Infatti oltre alla Market Unit , c’ è il più grande centro R&D di Ericcson fuori della Svezia Ericsson R&D world Norway Canada Sweden Finland Germany Denmark Hungary UK Ireland Japan USA Netherlands Spain China Italy India Main R&D Centers • Sweden • Italy R&D Figures 2006: R&D heads: ~18 000 2005: • R&D heads: ~16 500 • R&D exp: 2,64 B € (16%) Brazil 2 • Germany • Ireland • Canada • USA • China • Finland • Spain • Netherlands L’ insediamenro italiano di Ericsson Salvatore Improta Marconi SpA (ERI) Mission R&D Product Area functions Marconi Sud SpA (MSI) Supply Strategic Sourcing New Product Introduction Order Desk & Delivery Marconi Italy: ERI and MSI ERI Headcount: 1304 payroll Milano 203 consultants - HW DC - Microwave 272 suppliers HC 145 Genova ERI Sites: Genoa, Milan, Rome, Pagani - NPI - Supply - Sourcing Pisa - Optical Networks - OSS - BB Access MSI Headcount ~ 847 MSI Sites: Marcianise, Genoa HC 244 HC 562 + 65 Roma - Supply - Delivery Latina Marcianise HC 603 Pagani - AXE Platform - AXE Platform - Microwave - Access - M-MGw - Lawful Intercept - OSS HC 295 + 5 HC 232 Co-operation with the Universities Research Labs Politecnico Milano Università Ist. Sup. ICT Pavia Genoa Bologna ERIPAVIA (Università di PV) PISA Labs (CNR - Istituto S. Anna -Università) CoRiTeL L’Aquila Roma Sannio Napoli Salerno La Sapienza Tor Vergata Roma 3 (Politecnico di MI) Genoa M3S (Multimedia triple play solution) Pisa Università Scuola S. Anna CNR - IEI POLIERI (Università Roma 1 and Salerno) ERI Staff evolution Employees number 1400 1200 Marconi Acquisition 1000 ERI Establishment 800 Milan 600 400 Pagani 200 19 76 19 80 19 84 19 88 19 92 19 96 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 0 ERI Competences Technology competences Other R & D 16% HW 10% Embedded SW 17% System 16% I&V 17% PLCM competences • Product Management • Supply Control • Customer Support SW 24% Product & System competences • Circuit and Packet Switching • Speech Processing: Transcoder and Echo Canceller • Network Synchronization • IP signalling and Security • Processors platforms (including blade systems) • Operating Systems (Unix, Linux, OSE RT, MS, …) • Interception system and Data retention • Microwave Radio Link • NBA migration towards IP (H248) ERI and MSI in the network Service Layer ERI/MSI Internet IMS and communication enablers Multi Access Edge Wireline access Metro Aggregation ERI Wireless access ERI Transport network ERI/MSI ERI/MSI ERI role within BNET BU Networks Assistant Deputy Head of BU Networks Ericsson Research Business Control Human Resources Broadband & Transport Product and Portfolio Management Internal Communications System Management R&D Efficiency PA Radio DU Radio Research Branch Op Unit Functions PA Core & IMS DU Core & IMS Integration & Governance PA Broadband Networks DU Broadband Networks R&D Unit Core&IMS DU Platforms R&D Unit Platform Sales & Marketing Sourcing Supply Power Modules Cables Data Networks R&D Unit OSS R&D Unit Microwave R&D Unit BB Access R&D Unit Optical Net. ERI 31 Le principali imprese ICTS nel 2004 Sales 2004, BUSD 9% 50 0% 40 12% 16% 12% 30 20 10 0 12% -2% 5% 3% 19% 6% 1% 46% 13% 18% 0% 12% -4% MUSD 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Wireline Q2 2006 Cisco NEC ZTE Huawei Nortel Motorola Alcatel/Lucent NSN Ericsson Cisco NEC ZTE Huawei Nortel Motorola Alcatel/Lucent NSN Wireless Ericsson MUSD Le principali imprese ITCS nel 2006 e 2007 Q2 2007 • The telecom industry consolidation created 3 giant players. Among these traditional 3 top players, Ericsson and NSN are stronger and more dependant on mobile, while Alcatel-Lucent has a balance in mobile & fixed revenues. •Huawei has increased both in fixed and mobile networks. Revenue increased with 32% from YoY. • Huawei’s revenue per employee in Q2 2006 was 24758 USD while Ericsson was 72796 USD L’ evoluzione delle market share 30,0% 25,0% 20,0% 15,0% 10,0% 5,0% 0,0% Ericsson AlcaLuc 2003 NSN 2004 2005 Nortel 2006 Motorola 07'Q2 07'Q3 Huawei Relative Market share - Infrastructure and related services market share (%) 30,0% 25,0% 20,0% 15,0% 10,0% 5,0% 0,0% Ericsson AlcaLuc 2003 NSN 2004 2005 Nortel 2006 Motorola 07'Q2 07'Q3 Huawei Risultati ZTE Risultati ZTE Il mercato delle reti ottiche parla cinese. Boom dei vendor asiatici • • Ovum: "Nei Paesi occidentali il mercato è ancora debole ma in Asia-Pacifico è in piena crescita". Lo dimostrano le perfomance finanziarie di aziende come Huawei e Zte Grazie anche al boom economico cinese, Huawei ha assunto la leadership del mercato mondiale dell’optical networking – un mercato ancora debole nei Paesi occidentali, ma in piena crescita nell’Asia-Pacifico. E’ quanto emerge dall’ultima ricerca di Ovum, che ha pubblicato i risultati del terzo trimestre 2009 per i vendor di attrezzature di rete ottica (On). Il mercato globale vale nel terzo trimestre 2009 3,6 miliardi di dollari, il 4% in meno rispetto al secondo trimestre e in calo del 10% rispetto al terzo trimestre 2008. “Ma sono dati che vanno letti regione per regione”, puntualizza il vice president di Ovum, Optical Networking, Dana Cooperson. “In Nord America l’emorragia sembra essersi fermata, mentre in Emea e Sca (Asia del sud e centrale) il mercato resta in gravi difficoltà. L’Asia-Pacifico, guidato dalla Cina, continua a crescere oltre ogni aspettativa e traina il mercato mondiale”. “Numerosi vendor beneficiano dell’estensivo shopping della Cina in On, alimentata dai progetti per il 3G mobile, ma nessuno più di Huawei”, continua la Cooperson. “La sua forza non si limita al mercato domestico: Huawei ha ormai a pieno diritto assunto la leadership di un settore che quest’anno vale 15,2 miliardi di dollari e ha superato Alcatel-Lucent, da tempo numero uno”. In base all’analisi di Ovum, il fatturato globale di Huawei ha superato quello di Alcatel-Lucent di oltre 100 milioni di dollari in ciascuno dei primi tre trimestri dell’anno. Il fornitore cinese ora distanzia la rivale, in termini di share di mercato, di quasi tre punti percentuali. Fra i principali dieci vendor, solo Huawei e Zte, dinamici leader del mercato cinese e internazionale, hanno registrato un miglioramento anno su anno del fatturato, mentre poche aziende riportano una crescita sequenziale (Cisco, Fujitsu, Nec, Tellabs e, secondo le stime di Ovum, Nortel). Decisa l’avanzata di Zte, che ha superato Fujitsu aggiudicandosi il quarto posto nella top five. Nokia Siemens, fornitore numero cinque al mondo ancora nel terzo trimestre 2008, è scivolata dietro Tellabs al nono posto. Da parte sua Cisco ha scalzato Ciena ed è rientrata nella top ten. • 12 novembre 2009 di Patrizia Licata ( Il basso costo del lavoro qualificato è un fattore competitivo importante 16 000 11 000 R&D costs in 2004 2,8 0,5 Ericsson (175 000 USD / employee) Note revenue 2004 : Ericsson (system) 11.5 $ billion, Huawei (45 000 USD / employee) Huawei 3.8 $ billion R&D (BUSD) R&D employees Huawei • • • • • • • • • Established in 1988, and the only large "private" company in the Chinese telecom sector. Over 62,000 employees at the end of June 2007, representing a year-to-year increase of 76.9%. 12 R&D centers located both inside and outside China. Continue to grow its business outside China, especially in Asia Pacific and Africa. No transparency in financial since it is not listed company– this gives freedom to Huawei Not being state-owned is crucial for the rise of Huawei – Entrepreneurial, market-driven – not too dependent on government support compared to ZTE which is stateowned Aggressive sales culture – strong customer focus Shenzhen HQ is first class – impressing customers Extensive share incentive system for Chinese employees Chinese HR situation - an issue for Huawei – High turnover rate, and lower moral, among new employee – Buyout the length of service to avoid impact of new Labor Contract Law A private company with an unchallenged decision maker Market Position-Product Portfolio 1(2) Customized Communications NetworkSolutions Solutions Customized Communications Network Wireless Network UMTS GSM/GPRS/EDGE GSM-T/GSM-R CDMA2000 IMS Mobile Soft Switch WLAN/WiMAX Network Product Line Fixed-line Network Optical Network NGN DSLAM MSAN Switching Fixed Terminals LH/ULH DWDM Metro WDM OCS NG-SDH(ASON) NG-SONET FSO Datacom Network Router LAN Switch Security & VPN GW & Server Handsets and Wireless Terminals Application and Software Fixed IN Wireless IN Universal IN Mobile Data CDN/SAN OSS/BSS UMTS handset CDMA handset CDMA fixed terminal Wireless data card Wireless module ASICs ASICsand andShared SharedPlatform Platform ISO 9001:2000/TL9000/CMM for quality control ISO 14001 for environment management OHSAS 18001: 1999 for occupational health and safety administration Huawei has the broadest product portfolio in the telecom industry Source: Huawei web notes Market Position-Product Overview 2(2) • Radio product portfolio is getting stronger – – – • Strong in Wireline – • – Huawei intends to address the services market to be able to compete in a mature market like Europe Has ambitions to move into a more advanced services segment, the managed services • recently signed its first managed service contract with Bharti Airtel Sri Lanka Software development and handling is an area of concern – – • Wireline DSLAM, MSAN and optical have better positions than Ericsson and Huawei is still investing money in these areas • No.2 in DSL globally with 23% of DSL ports and 19% of revenue • No.2 in DSLAM (ATM+IP DSLAM) globally with 25% of ports and 22% of revenue (source: Infonetics, Q3 2007) Service and delivery are still weak due to lack of skills and resources at the moment – • WCDMA RAN credibility has increased. Accepted by tier one operators Has better IP story than any other competitors in radio areas GSM market share has increased because of China expansion. New BTS 3012 is relatively competitive compared with its old BTS312 and support EDGE Actions are taken to reduce number of SW versions Huawei is trying to improve R&D efficiency and has split SW development into two groups: SW correction group and SW development group Rising costs in R&D – – Huawei cost reduction programs in place trend towards less flexibility to customer requirements Software development and handling is an area of concern Market Position-Financial Huawei’s Revenue and Cash Flow, 2002-2006 Huawei’s Operating Profit Margin, 2002-2006 Source: Huawei Company Information, Infosage Analysis, 2007 Source: Huawei Company Information, Infosage Analysis, 2007 8.50 20% 19% 18% 6.98 B illio n U S D 15% 10% 3.83 14% 10% 2.69 7% 2.13 5% 0.71 0.31 0.39 0.74 0.40 0 0% 2002 2003 Revenue 2004 2005 2006 2002 2003 2004 2005 Cash Flow Growing revenues, weak cash-flow and decreasing profit margins notes 2006 Executive Summary • Huawei will remain one of the major competitors to Ericsson in the years ahead. In some segments they have a strong position. They are getting closer to Ericsson in WCDMA, strong in fixed networks, but weak on IMS and services • Huawei is pursuing an aggressive growth strategy with special break-in mode, focus on mobile systems and global operators. However, the strategy is costly, and is squeezing margins • Huawei is in the transition to become an innovative company, and is investing substantial R&D money mainly in growth areas However, they are still to be regarded as a "fast follower" • Huawei, as a "private" company, is not dependant on government support and is sensitive to financial results, and will eventually need to balance growth targets against profit requirements • Huawei is not defying gravity. The laws of physics apply also to them. The effects of their very aggressive sales strategy (in some areas) are reflected in the financial results La ditta vincente Technology Leadership Marketing & vision Operational Excellence Cosa è Ericsson e come si presenta The prime driver in an all-communicating world Make people’s life easier and richer Provide affordable communication for all Enable new ways for companies to do business Excel in Expand in Establish position in Network Infrastructure Services Multimedia Solutions for any service over for network evolution for consumers and mobile and fixed, based and efficient operations, enterprises, on our technology based on our based on our leadership, broad global structure user understanding portfolio and scale with local capabilities and e2e capabilities Operational Excellence in everything we do Quartier generale in Stoccolma, business in 175 paesi Vendite 2008 : 208,9 miliardi di corone Margine operativo 2008: 23,5 miliardi di corone Personale 76000 impiegati (20250 in Svezia ) Visione e strategia Diversificare per per bilanciare la caduta di business sulle infrastutture di rete, puntando sul contenuto a competenza locale: Ericsson crea la divisione “ Professional Services “ il cui scopo fondamentale è fornire agli operatori i cosidetti “Managed Services” Con “Managed service “ si intende una funzione che appartiene alla “ Value chain” dell’operatore ,la cui gestione viene da questo delegata ad un ente esterno Quale attività può delegare un operatore come “Managed service “ • Attività di gestione : gestione quotidiana della rete, attività di controllo e manutenzione compresi interventi di riparazione sul campo, interfaccia operativa al cliente call center/help desk ,supporto di qualunque tipo. • Attività di installazione : realizzazione o aggiornamento di reti, servizi ,e sistemi di supporto al business • Attività di progetto e pianificazione : reti ,servizi e sistemi di supporto al business. Perchè l’operatore fa gestire ad altri alcune funzioni Risultati ZTE Risultati ZTE Visione e strategia Diversificare per entrare nel mercato futuro dei servizi di utente “Internet Based”: Ericsson crea la divisione “multimedia” Visione, strategia e Marketing Per sfruttare al massimo il punto di forza : indiscussa leardship tecnologica nei sistemiu radiomobili Ericsson crea la vision: L’accesso broadband via radio mobile non è solo un complemento all’accesso fisso, ma in tanti casi una valida alternativa . Il traffico generato dall’ accesso mobile negli anni arriverà fino a 1000 volte quello attuale. Contributi agli standard WCDMA Contributions to the WCDMA radio access network 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Samsung Panasonic Fujitsu NEC Lucent Alcatel Motorola Nortel Siemens Nokia Ericsson 0% Continuous evolution towards higher speeds and lower latency Broadband performance now & powerful evolution path! Higher speed improves user experience Music download GSM 4 - 5 min WCDMA HSPA 20 sec 4 sec Higher speed improves user experience Video download WCDMA HSPA 3G LTE 7 min 90 sec 6sec Fixed broadband subscription* forecast by technology 700 Broadband growth >1.8 billion subscriptions 2012 600 400 Broadband subscription forecast 300 2100 200 1800 100 0 2007 DSL 2010 Cable 2012 Fiber WLL Subscriptions (Millions) Subscriptions (Millions) 500 1500 1200 900 600 300 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Mobile 2010 2011 2012 Fixed Mobile Broadband includes: CDMA2000 EV-DO, HSPA, LTE, Mobile WiMAX, Other Fixed broadband includes: DSL, FTTx, Cable modem, Enterprise leased lines and Wireless Broadband Source: Ovum RHK & Internal Ericsson Mobile broadband subscriptions HSPA and WiMAX subscriptions Subscriptions (Millions) 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 Mobile WiMax 2010 2011 2012 HSPA Sources: WiMAX: Ericsson estimates. WiMAX incl. WiBro. HSPA: Ericsson calculation based on Strategy Analytics HSDPA handset forecast and Strategy Analytics WCDMA handset renewal rate. Extrapolated by Ericsson after 2010. Early years based on Informa. Mobile traffic, voice and data 2007-2014 Subscriber traffic in mobile access networks 30 Yearly Exabytes 25 20 15 Mobile PC traffic 10 Mobile handheld traffic 5 0 Voice 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Internal Ericsson Already more Data than Voice in Mobile Networks Fixed traffic to grow tenfold by 2012 Subscriber traffic in fixed access networks Yearly Terabyte 400 000 000 300 000 000 200 000 000 IPTV 100 000 000 Internet 0 2005 Classic Voice & VoIP 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Internal Ericsson Traffic Explosion Today: Voice: 4 Billion users generating 20 Million Byte / month / user Data: ”20 Million users generating 4 Billion Byte / month / user” Later: Data: 4 Billion users generating 20 Billion Byte / month / user And in addition the 50 Billion connections...... 20 years to build Traffic Increase a factor 1000 compared to only voice! Estimated total GSM/EDGE and WCDMA/HSPA traffic 180 160 Estimated BH Traffic (TB/h) 140 Total BH Packet Traffic 120 100 Total BH Speech Traffic 80 60 40 20 mar 07 jun 07 sep 07 dec 07 mar 08 jun 08 sep 08 dec 08 GSM WCDMA GSM WCDMA GSM WCDMA GSM WCDMA GSM WCDMA GSM WCDMA GSM WCDMA GSM WCDMA GSM WCDMA 0 mar 09 GSM/EDGE traffic has grown a factor 1.75 in 24 months WCDMA/HSPA traffic has grown a factor 15 in 24 months Source: NetQB Can it happen and can we handle it? • Question: • Answer: • Question: • Answer: If we have grown a factor 1.75 in GSM/EDGE and a factor 15 in WCDMA/ HSPA in 24 months, how long does it take to grow a factor 1000? ~7years (based on 2.4% and 12% per month for GSM and HSPA resp.) Note! This is no future prognosis, just a pure mathematical extrapolation, our estimate is a factor 50 from 2007 to 2014. Where do we find a capacity increase of a factor 1000? HSPA and LTE vs. WCDMA gives a factor 10 Spectral efficiency improvements from 1 bps/Hz to 2 bps/Hz gives a factor 2 More allocated spectrum gives a factor 5 ~3 times smaller cell radius gives a factor 10 In total 10*5*2*10 = 1000 Yes it can and Yes we can! • RMB, renminbi la valuta del popolo, CNY chinese yuan Back up slide Ericsson organization CEO Group Functions & Common Units Business Units Network Systems Research Market Units Market Unit Services Multimedia Global Customer Accounts C U S T O M E R S (Boxes are clickable) Vendor Overview Sales 2004, BUSD 9% 50 0% 40 12% 16% 12% 30 20 3% -2% 12% 19% 5% 6% 1% 10 13% 18% 46% -4% 12% 0% 0 Op.Margins ”Monopolies” 40% 30% 20% 10% EDS HP Accenture SAP Oracle IBM Microsoft Intel Nortel Cisco Siemens Alcatel Lucent Motorola Nokia -10% Ericsson 0% • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • ERICSSON REPORTS THIRD QUARTER RESULTS Sales SEK 46.4 (49.2) b, down 4% for comparable units, down 12% currency adjusted Operating income 1) before JVs SEK 5.5 (5.6) b Operating margin 1) before JVs 11.7% (11.5%) Share in earnings from JVs 1) SEK -1.5 (0.0) b Income after financial items 1) SEK 4.0 (6.2) b Restructuring charges of SEK 2.7 (1.9) b, excl JV Net income SEK 0.8 (2.9) b Earnings per share SEK 0.25 (0.89) Cash flow 2) SEK 6.9 (2.7) b 1) Excluding restructuring charges 2) Excluding cash outlays for restructuring of SEK 1.2 (0.3) b and dividend from Sony Ericsson of SEK 1.4 b in Q3 2008 CEO COMMENTS "Sales of network equipment declined due to lower demand in the current tougher market environment. Despite lower volumes, Network margins remain stable. The strong development in Professional Services continued," says Carl-Henric Svanberg, President and CEO of Ericsson (NASDAQ:ERIC). "Our cost reduction activities are running ahead of plan with further opportunities for efficiency improvements and savings. As commented on in previous reports, the economic climate affects the global mobile infrastructure market and the credit environment is still tight in several emerging markets. However, other markets, including the world's leading economies such as China, India, US and Japan show good development. The technology shift from voice telephony to mobile broadband is ongoing. Mobile broadband users and traffic are increasing rapidly and will eventually connect billions of people to internet. With the shift follows the anticipated decline in GSM sales, accelerated by the current recession, which is not yet offset by the growth in mobile broadband. Our services operation continues to show strong development. While managed services are often in focus, systems integration and consulting are increasingly important. Services margins are stable despite being negatively affected by the start up costs in the third quarter for the Sprint and Zain services contracts as well as the reduced scope and transformation costs for the renewed managed services agreement in Italy. In late September, we were pleased to welcome the former Sprint employees into Ericsson, and we look forward to soon also welcome former Nortel employees. This, together with the major contract wins with Verizon, AT&T and Metro PCS in mobile and fixed broadband, makes Ericsson the leading provider of telecommunications technology and services in North America. While the current economic environment affects all parts of society the longer-term fundamentals for our industry remain solid. Mobile telephony is reaching a penetration beyond all expectations. We expect mobile broadband to show a similar exciting development over the years to come, not least as the vast majority of the world's population will be able to reach internet only through mobile technology. We are well positioned to lead our industry forward," concludes Carl-Henric Svanberg. The company was founded in 1920 as International Telephone & Telegraph. During the 1960s and 1970s, under the leadership of then-CEO Harold Geneen the company rose to prominence as the archetypal conglomerate, deriving its growth from hundreds of acquisitions in diversified industries. ITT divested its telecommunications assets in 1986, and in 1995 spun-off its non-manufacturing divisions, later to be purchased by Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide. International telecommunications International telecommunications manufacturing subsidiaries included STC in Australia and Britain, SEL in Germany, BTM in Belgium, and CGCT and LMT in France. Alec Reeves invented Pulse-code modulation (PCM), upon which all future digital voice communication was based. These companies manufactured equipment according to ITT designs including the (1960s) Pentaconta crossbar switch and (1970s) Metaconta D, L and 10c Stored Program Control exchanges, mostly for sale to their respective national telephone administrations. This equipment was also produced under license in Poznan (Poland), in Yugoslavia, and elsewhere. ITT was the largest owner of the LM Ericsson company in Sweden but sold out in 1960. L’ anima elettromeccanica delle Telecomunicazioni Le Telecomunicazioni e soprattutto la commutazione sono nate elettromeccaniche e sono rimaste tali per più di 60 anni (le imprese storiche italiane delle Telecomunicazioni sono continuate a rimanere nel comparto industriale metalmeccanico, lo stesso di quello della FIAT e solo da poco stanno migrando versi altri comparti. Dall’ elettromeccanica all ‘elettronica Dal fisso al mobile Dalla commutazione di circuito a quella a pacchetto Dall’ hardware al software Dalla materia ferrosa alla materia grigia Revenue by Product Unit: MUSD Wireless Fixed Optical Data Service & SW Digital & Mutimedia Turnkey Handset Y2005 2,036 1,093 984 605 688 65 / 510 Perc. 34.0% 18.3% 16.5% 10.1% 11.5% 1.1% / 8.5% Y2006 2,636 1,165 1,360 808 901 / 629 1,003 Perc. 31.0% 13.7% 16.0% 9.5% 10.6% / 7.4% 11.8% Y/Y 29.5% 6.6% 38.2% 33.6% 31.0% / / 96.7% Source: TBR Huaw ei 2005 Revenue by Product Digital & Mutimedia, 1.1% Service & SW, 11.5% Handset, 8.5% Wireless, 34.0% Huaw ei 2006 Revenue by Product Handset, 11.8% Turnkey, 7.4% Wireless, 31.0% Service & SW, 10.6% Data, 10.1% Data, 9.5% Optical, 16.5% Fixed, 13.7% Fixed, 18.3% Optical, 16.0% Wireless is largest area for revenue Revenue by Region Unit: MUSD Y2005 China Perc. Y2006 Perc. Y06/Y05 Y2007 Est. Perc. Est. 3,589 60.0% 2,951 34.7% -17.8% 6,381 56.0% AP(China Excluded) 368 6.2% 1,565 18.4% 325.3% 809 7.1% CALA 494 8.3% 689 8.1% 39.5% 997 8.7% EMEA 1,528 25.5% 3,274 38.5% 114.3% 3,191 28.0% North America 3 0.1% 26 0.3% 766.7% 17 0.1% Total Revenue 5,982 100% 8,504 100% 42.2% 11,395 100% Source: TBR Huawei 2005 Revenue by Region EMEA, 25.5% Huawei 2006 Revenue by Region North America, 0.1% North America, 0.3% China, 34.7% EMEA, 38.5% CALA, 8.3% Asia Pacific, 6.2% China, 60.0% CALA, 8.1% Asia Pacific, 18.4% International Growth ambitions are showing results