Italian Presidency of the Council of the European Union italia2014.eu Department of Statistical Sciences CONFERENCE OF EUROPEAN STATISTICS STAKEHOLDERS Methodologists, Producers and Users of European Statistics Rome 24 | 25 November 2014 PROGRAMME CONFERENCE OF EUROPEAN STATISTICS STAKEHOLDERS Methodologists, Producers and Users of European Statistics Rome 24 | 25 November 2014 Organized by Federation of European National Statistical Societies (FENStatS) EUROSTAT European Statistical Advisory Committee (ESAC) Italian National Institute of Statistics (Istat) Società Italiana di Statistica SIS-VSP Department of Statistical Sciences, Sapienza University of Rome Scientific Steering Committee Walter Radermacher, Director General of Eurostat, Co-organizer Maurizio Vichi, President FENStatS, Co-organizer Anne Gégout-Petit, President of the French Statistical Society, Giorgio Alleva, President ISTAT, Leandro Pardo LLorente, President of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research. John Pullinger, UK National Statistician, Past President of The Royal Statistical Society, Aurel Schubert, Director General Statistics European Central Bank, Ineke Stoop, ESAC, Wolfgang Schmid, President of the German Statistical Society, Nicola Torelli, President of the Italian Statistical Society, Scientific Program Committee Emanuele Baldacci, Istat Patrizia Cacioli, Istat Roberto Barcellan, Eurostat Martin Karlberg, Eurostat Giuliana Coccia, SIS-Vsp Fabio Crescenzi, SIS-Vsp Donatella Vicari, Sapienza University of Rome General Information The scientific program includes plenary, invited and contributed sessions with oral presentation in English. Language The official language of the conference is English A selection of fully peer-reviewed papers will be published in the Springer Series Selected Papers of the Statistical Societies (http://www.springer.com/series/10107). CESS2014 1 PROGRAMME | MORNING 24 NOVEMBER 2014 Morning 24 November 2014 Aula Magna, Rectorate - Sapienza University of Rome Piazzale Aldo Moro, 5 08.15 – 08.45 Registration 08.45 – 09.30 Opening Eugenio Gaudio, Rector Sapienza University of Rome Fabio Grasso, Head of the Department of Statistical Science Authorities Walter Radermacher, Co-organizer, Director General Eurostat Giorgio Alleva, President Istat Maurizio Vichi, Co-organizer, President FENStatS 09.30 – 10.50 Keynote talks | European statistics and Europe 2020 09.30 – 09.50 Walter Radermacher, Director General Eurostat 09.50 – 10.10 Maurizio Vichi, President FENStatS 10.10 – 10.30 Ineke Stoop, Chair of ESAC 10.30 – 10.50 Andrea Saltelli, Head of Econometrics and applied statistics unit, Joint Research Centre 10.50 – 11.10 Special guest talk Statistics making an impact for Europe 2020 John Pullinger, National Statistician of UK, Royal Statistical Society 11.10 – 11.40 Coffee break 11.40 – 13.00 Panel discussion Enhancing collaboration among Statistics Stakeholders and Research for Europe 2020 Chair: Giorgio Alleva, President Istat Speakers: Leandro Pardo LLorente, President of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research Karl Mosler, Vice-President of the German Statistical Society Anne Gégout-Petit, President of the French Statistical Society Lidia Bratanova, Chief Statistician UNECE Marjo Bruun, Director General, Statistics Finland 13.00 – 14.20 Lunch in the Roof Garden of the Sapienza Didactic building. Transfer by walking from Aula Magna to Sapienza Didactic building, via Caserta, 6 (600 meters, 7 minutes) 2 CESS2014 PROGRAMME | AFTERNOON 24 NOVEMBER 2014 Afternoon 24 November 2014 Didactic building - Sapienza University of Rome Via Caserta, 6 14.20 – 15.30 INVITED SESSION 1 ROOM 1 Modernisation of Statistical Production Processes: Vision, Experiences and Challenges Chair: Emanuele Baldacci, Istat 14.20 – 14.35 Trends in the modernisation of official statistics Mariana Kotzeva, EC Eurostat 14.35 – 14.50 Modernizing Modernization Bert Kroese, Barteld Braaksma, Marton Vucsan, Statistics Netherlands 14.50 – 15.05 Modernisation of Statistical Production and Services – a Global Perspective Steve Vale, UNECE 15.05 – 15.20 A Business Architecture Model to foster standardisation in official statistics Nadia Mignolli, Giulio Barcaroli, Piero Demetrio Falorsi, Alessandra Fasano, Istat 15.20 – 15.30 Discussion 14.20 – 15.30 INVITED SESSION 2 ROOM 2 European Statistics on Justice Systems: the Picture of a Poor Reality Chair: Ildefonso Villán Criado, ESAC 14.20 – 14.40 The EU Justice Scoreboard: Challenges in data gathering on the effectiveness of justice systems Elsa Garcia-Maltrás, Directorate-General Justice, European Commission 14.40 – 15.00 Judicial enforcement procedures and credit: lessons from the last decade in Spain Juan S. Mora-Sanguinetti, Miguel García-Posada, Bank of Spain 15.00 – 15.20 Lights and shadows of the Italian judicial system: first steps towards accountability Maria Giuseppina Muratore, Istat 15.20 – 15.30 Discussion CESS2014 3 PROGRAMME | AFTERNOON 24 NOVEMBER 2014 14.20 – 15.30 INVITED SESSION 3 ROOM 3 THE CHALLENGES FOR ENVIRONMENTAL DATA STAKEHOLDERS Chair: Daniela Cocchi, University of Bologna 14.20– 14.35 Measures of Risk: Advances and New Perspectives for Environmental Risk Assessment Jose Miguel Angulo Ibanez, University of Granada 14.35– 14.50 Use of atmospheric pollution data at INERIS, the French National Institute for Industrial Environment and Risks, to support the assessment and management of air quality Laure Malherbe, INERIS France 14.50– 15.05 Environmental data production and exploitation at Arpa E-R, the Regional Environmental Protection Agency of Emilia-Romagna, Italy Stefano Tibaldi, Director, ARPA Emilia-Romagna 15.05 – 15.20 Multivariate hidden Markov models as tools for marine atlas development Francesco Lagona, University Roma Tre 15.20 – 15.30 Discussion 14.20 – 15.30 SOLICITED SESSION 4 ROOM 4 SPATIAL STATISTICAL METHODS FOR OFFICIAL STATISTICS Chair: Robert Haining, University of Cambridge 14.20 – 14.35 Alternative model specifications for regression estimated on big spatial datasets Giuseppe Arbia, Catholic University of Sacred Heart 14.35 – 14.50 Benchmarking methods for space and time unit level EBLUP estimators Michele D’Alò, Lorenzo Di Biagio, Stefano Falorsi, Andrea Fasulo, Fabrizio Solari, Istat 14.50 – 15.05 Use of geo-referenced information for statistical purposes Elisabetta Carfagna, University of Bologna; Simone Maffei Terranova GIS; Andrea Carfagna 15.05 – 15.20 Toward a data-and-policy spatially integrated system in the local context: From evidence-informed to policy-motivated statistical knowledge Wlodzimierz Okrasa, Central Statistical Office of Poland 15.20 – 15.30 Discussion 4 CESS2014 PROGRAMME | AFTERNOON 24 NOVEMBER 2014 15.30 – 16.40 INVITED SESSION 5 ROOM 1 ECONOMY FINANCE AND BUSINESS STATISTICS FOR EUROPE 2020 Chair: Mauro Politi, Istat 15.30 – 15.45 Financial Statistics for Europe 2020 Aurel Schubert, Director General Statistics, European Central Bank 15.45 – 16.00 How to measure the quality of Financial tweets Paola Cerchiello, Paolo Giudici, University of Pavia 16.00 – 16.15 Improving business statistics for small domains Maria Rosaria Ferrante, Silvia Pacei, University of Bologna 16.15 – 16.30 International trade and investment: improving our knowledge about competitive advantages Fabrizio Onida, University of Milan-Bocconi 16.30 – 16.40 Discussion 15.30 – 16.40 INVITED SESSION 6 ROOM 2 VISUALISING STATISTICS IN THE E-SOCIETY Chair: Vittoria Buratta, Istat 15.30 – 15.45 Big Data and Visual Analytics for Health Care Systems Performance Assessment Orestis Tsigkas and Michail Skaliotis, EC - Eurostat 15.45 – 16.00 Data-Visualisation: From Tool to Mother Tongue Michael Neutze, Sibylle von Oppeln-Bronikowski Federal Statistical Office of Germany 16.00 – 16.15 Web services for spatial temporal comparison of statistical indicators Pina Ticca, Istat 16.15 – 16.30 Preparation of reproducible statistical reports Andrej Blejec, Statistical Society of Slovenia, National Institute of Biology 16.30 – 16.40 Discussion CESS2014 5 PROGRAMME | AFTERNOON 24 NOVEMBER 2014 15.30 – 16.40 CONTRIBUTED SESSION 7 ROOM 3 NEW METHODS FOR DATA COLLECTION AND CONTROL Chair: Karl Mosler, University of Cologne 15.30 – 15.45 A Methodological and Computational Framework for Statistical Disclosure Control Matthias Templ, Alexander Kowarik, Bernhard Meindl, Austrian Statistical Society, Vienna 15.45 – 16.00 The Economic e-Census in Tuscany: effects of the data collection strategy on the response rates Luca Faustini, Sabina Giampaolo, Alessandro Valentini, Istat 16.00 – 16.15 Experiments on internet and mixed-mode data collection at Insee Olivier Sautory, Gaël de Peretti, Tiaray Razafindranovona, Insee 16.15 – 16.30 User-focused threat identification for anonymised microdata Hans-Peter Hafner, Saarland State University; Felix Ritchie, University of the West of England; Rainer Lenz, Technical University of Dortmund 16.30 – 16.45 Istatel Project: computerization of the data collection process on population statistics Roberto Bartoli, Carla Camilloni, Cristina Cesaroni, Carla Rubbo, Istat 15.30 – 16.40 CONTRIBUTED SESSION 8 ROOM 4 WHAT STATISTICS CAN MEASURE AND HOW: DEFINING EUROPEAN STATISTICS WITH A 2020 TIME HORIZON Chair: Matilde Bini, European University of Rome, SIS-VSP 15.30 – 15.45 Are the Central and East European Countries attracting the appropriate type of foreign direct investments? Vasile Alecsandru Strat, Bucharest University of Economic Studies 15.45 – 16.00 Revised definitions for statistical units - methodology, application and user needs Roland Sturm, Federal Statistical Office Germany 16.00 – 16.15 Displaying empirical distributions with conditional quantile estimators: an application of symbolic data analysis to the cost allocation problem in agriculture Dominique Desbois, UMR Economie publique, INRA-AgroParisTech 6 CESS2014 PROGRAMME | AFTERNOON 24 NOVEMBER 2014 16.15 – 16.30 The boundary of public sector in National Accounts versus IPSAS Giovanna Dabbicco, Istat, University Naples Parthenope 16.30 – 16.45 Morbidity Statistics in the EU – key results from pilot studies in sixteen member states Monica Pace, Istat; Hartmut Buchow, Eurostat 16.40 – 17.10 Coffee break 17.10 – 18.20 INVITED SESSION 9 ROOM 1 CROSS-NATIONAL SURVEYS: DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS Chair: Ineke Stoop, Chair ESAC 17.10 – 17.30 Developing comparability in Eurofound surveys: focus on input harmonisation and translation Tadas Leoncikas, European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions 17.30 – 17.50 Choosing the Number of Categories in Agree–Disagree Scales Melanie Revilla, Universitat Pompeo Fabra 17.50 – 18.10 Seeing the Hidden Part of the Iceberg: Gauging the Real Dimension of International Migration Adrian Otoiu, Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies; Emilia Titan, ESAC, Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies 18.10 – 18.20 Discussion 17.10 – 18.20 INVITED SESSION 10 ROOM 2 POVERTY AND SOCIAL EXCLUSION: ENHANCING CAPACITY TO MEASURE EMPLOYMENT AND SOCIAL DEVELOPMENTS Chair: Linda Laura Sabbadini,Istat 17.10 – 17.25 The absolute measure of poverty: a key indicator to design policies Cristina Freguja, Nicoletta Pannuzi, Istat 17.25 – 17.40 The Italian Active inclusion System Raffaele Tangorra, Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs 17.40 – 17.55 Behind and beyond the (headcount) employment rate Andrea Brandolini, Eliana Viviano, Banca d’Italia CESS2014 7 PROGRAMME | AFTERNOON 24 NOVEMBER 2014 17.55 – 18.10 Measuring poverty and living conditions at small area level Monica Pratesi, University of Pisa; Alessandra Petrucci, University of Florence 18.10 – 18.20 Discussion 17.10 – 18.20 INVITED SESSION 11 ROOM 3 THE COMBINED USE OF ADMINISTRATIVE SOURCES AND STATISTICAL SURVEYS, AN INCOMING REVOLUTION FOR STATISTICAL STAKEHOLDERS Chair: Fabio Crescenzi, Istat, SIS-Vsp 17.10 – 17.25 Research into using administrative data and surveys to produce census and population statistics – ONS Beyond 2011 Programme, England and Wales Andy Teague, ONS UK 17.25 – 17.40 The Dutch Census 2011 Eric Schulte Nordholt, CBS NL 17.40 – 17.55 Statistical Matching in complex survey data: beyond the conditional independence assumption Pier Luigi Conti, Sapienza University of Rome; Daniela Marella, University of Roma tre 17.55 – 18.10 Supporting the statistical utilization of administrative data sources: Istat’s activities and tools Giovanna D’Angiolini, Pierina De Salvo, Andrea Passacantilli, Istat 18.10 – 18.20 Discussion 17.10 – 18.20 INVITED SESSION 12 ROOM 4 ON THE IMPACT OF MODERNISATION Chair: Mariana Kotzeva, EC Eurostat 17.10 – 17.30 Changing UK Official Statistics System - Getting it right John Pullinger, UK National Statistician 17.30 – 17.50 Modernization @ work: lessons learned Emanuele Baldacci 17.50 – 18.10 Implementing Vision 2020; which will the new interfaces be between the stakeholders of the European Statistical System? Roberto Barcellan, EC Eurostat 18.10 – 18.20 Discussion 8 CESS2014 PROGRAMME | MORNING 25 NOVEMBER 2014 Morning 25 November 2014 Didactic building - Sapienza University of Rome Via Caserta, 6 08.30 – 9.40 CONTRIBUTED SESSION 1 ROOM 1 ANALYSING AND SUMMARISING LARGE SETS OF INDICATORS Chair: Vincenzo E. Vinzi, ESSEC Business School 08.30 – 08.45 The MIMIC model to predict economic public opinions through macro-economic indicators in Europe Maurizio Carpita, University of Brescia, Enrico Ciavolino, Mariangela Nitti, University of Salento 08.45 – 09.00 Summarizing Data using Partially Ordered Set Theory: An application to fiscal frameworks in 97 countries Julia Bachtrögler, Harald Badinger, Aurélien Fichet de Clairfontaine, Wolf Heinrich Reuter, Vienna University of Economics and Business 09.00 – 09.15 Interval Based Composite Indicators Carlo Drago, University of Rome "Niccolò Cusano" 09.15 – 09.30 Non-compensatory Composite Indices for Measuring Changes over Time: A Comparative Study Matteo Mazziotta, Adriano Pareto, Istat 09.30 – 09.40 Discussion 08.30 – 09.40 CONTRIBUTED SESSION 14 ROOM 2 ANALYSIS AND ESTIMATION OF SURVEY DATA Chair: Pier Luigi Conti, Sapienza University of Rome 08.30 – 08.50 Streamlining data editing at Statistics Spain Silvia Rama, David Salgado, Spanish National Statistical Institute 08.50 – 09.10 Estimation of Non-Registered Usual Residents in the Netherlands, ultimo September 2010 Bart F.M. Bakker, Statistics Netherlands & VU University Amsterdam; Susanna Gerritse, Peter G.M. van der Heijden, Utrecht University; Jan van der Laan, Statistics Netherlands, Rik van der Vliet, Maarten Cruyff, Utrecht University 09.10 – 09.30 Pairwise likelihood estimation based on a sample of pairs Ioulia Papageorgiou, Athens University of Economics and Business; Irini Moustaki, London School of Economics and Political Science Discussion 09.30 – 09.40 CESS2014 9 PROGRAMME | MORNING 25 NOVEMBER 2014 08.30 – 09.40 SOLICITED SESSION 15 ROOM 3 METHODS FOR ANALYSING BIG DATA IN THE CONTEXT OF OFFICIAL STATISTICS Chair: Roberto Barcellan, EC Eurostat 08.30 – 08.45 Processes and methods for Big Data: a traffic index based on huge amounts of road sensor data Piet Daas, Marco Puts, Saskia Ossen and Martijn Tennekes, Statistics Netherlands 08.45 – 09.00 Handling missing data in large data sets Agostino Di Ciaccio, Sapienza University of Rome 09.00 – 09.15 Big-data, self-selection, predictions in real-time, intangible variables, opinion and sentiment manipulation: the landing in the future of business statisticians Furio Camillo, University of Bologna 09.15 – 09.30 Data Linking: A Common Project for Official Statistics Tiziana Tuoto, Istat; Phillip Gould, Australian Bureau of Statistics; Allyson Seyb, Statistics New Zealand; Nicoletta Cibella, Monica Scannapieco, Mauro Scanu, Istat 09.30 – 09.40 Discussion 08.30 – 09.40 SOLICITED SESSION 16 ROOM 4 NEW CHALLENGES FOR IMPROVING SURVEY ANALYSIS Chair: Rosanna Verde, Second University of Naples 08.30 – 08.45 Some fallacies and remedies in secondary data analysis for survey data Giancarlo Manzi, University of Milan; Sonia Stefanizzi, University of Mila-Bicocca; Pier Alda Ferrari, University of Milan 08.45 – 09.00 The best model of a cat is the cat itself Gejza Dohnal, Czech Technical University in Prague 09.00 – 09.15 SiGeoS: a user-friendly tool to visualise and communicate statistics Antonella Bianchino, Istat; Annamaria Grippo, Regione Basilicata; Salvatore Cariello, Istat 09.15 – 09.30 Measuring the at-risk-of-poverty rate at local level Ralf Munnich, University of Trier 09.30 – 09.40 Discussion 10 CESS2014 PROGRAMME | MORNING 25 NOVEMBER 2014 09.40 – 10.50 SOLICITED SESSION 17 ROOM 1 GRAPHICAL AND NETWORK MODELS AND ANALYSIS IN THE CONTEXT OF OFFICIAL STATISTICS Chair: Marco Alfò, Sapienza University of Rome 09.40 – 09.55 Extracting association rules from two-mode networks Giuseppe Giordano, University of Salerno; Raffaele Miele, CRISMA 09.55 – 10.10 Identification and Estimation of Outcome Response with Heterogeneous Treatment Externalities Tiziano Arduini, Eleonora Patacchini, Edoardo Rainone, Sapienza University of Rome 10.10 – 10.25 Bayesian Network in effectiveness of education Federica Cugnata, University of Turin; Giovanni Perucca Polytechnic University of Milan; Silvia Salini, University of Milan 10.25 – 10.40 Detecting Influential Observations for Graphical Models Avner Bar-Hen, University of Paris Descartes; Jean-Michel Poggi, University Paris-Sud Orsay 10.40 – 10.50 Discussion 09.40 – 10.50 INVITED SESSION 18 ROOM 2 NEW CHALLENGES IN THE ANALYSIS OF LONGITUDINAL DATA Chair: Francesco Battaglia, Sapienza University of Rome 09.40 – 10.00 Three-step estimation of latent Markov models Francesco Bartolucci, Giorgio Eduardo Montanari, Silvia Pandolfi, University of Perugia 10.00 – 10.20 Modelling pollutants' evolution and association over time: a time-varying latent class approach Antonello Maruotti, University of Roma Tre and Southampton 10.20 – 10.40 Bayesian non-parametric model to longitudinally predict churn Bruno Scarpa, University of Padua 10.40 – 10.50 Discussion CESS2014 11 PROGRAMME | MORNING 25 NOVEMBER 2014 09.40 – 10.50 SOLICITED SESSION 19 ROOM 3 NEW CHALLENGES IN SPATIO-TEMPORAL DATA MODELING AND MONITORING Chair: Giuseppe Arbia, Catholic University of Sacred Heart 09.40 – 09.55 WebGis and Geostatistical Techniques for Monitoring Potential Radon in Soil Sabrina Maggio, Veronica Distefano, Alessandra Spennato, University of Salento 09.55 – 10.10 Generalised Regressions For Spatially and Spatio-Temporally Correlated Data Lara Fontanella, Luigi Ippoliti, Pasquale Valentini, University G. d'Annunzio Chieti-Pescara 10.10 – 10.25 Small area estimation for classifying change: Bayesian modelling applied to crime data Robert Haining, University of Cambridge 10.25 – 10.40 Monitoring spatially dependent data coming from sensors: an approach based on functional data analysis Elvira Romano, Antonio Balzanella, Second University of Naples 10.40 – 10.55 Spatio-temporal modeling and some applications Sandra De Iaco, Sabrina Maggio, Monica Palma, Donato Posa, University of Salento 09.40 – 10.50 SOLICITED SESSION 20 ROOM 4 NEW METHODOLOGICAL CHALLENGES FOR OFFICIAL STATISTICS Chair: Giuliana Coccia, Istat, SIS-Vsp A new paradigm for modelling ordinal responses in sample surveys Maria Iannario and Domenico Piccolo, University of Naples Federico II Childhood obesity and CUB models: a new perspective Corrado Crocetta, University of Foggia; Emma Zavarrone, Vincenzo Russo, University IULM; Barbara Cafarelli, University of Foggia; Laura Antonucci, Laura Milani, Sandra De Francisci, University IULM Skewness-kurtosis adjusted confidence estimators and significance tests Wolf-Dieter Richter, University of Rostock A Procrustes-based approach for comparing relational datasets Simona Balbi, Federico II University of Naples; Michelangelo Misuraca, University of Calabria; Agnieszka Stawinoga, Federico II University of Naples Discussion Coffee break 09.40 – 09.55 09.55 – 10.10 10.10 – 10.25 10.25 – 10.40 10.40 – 10.50 10.50 – 11.20 12 CESS2014 PROGRAMME | MORNING 25 NOVEMBER 2014 11.20 – 12.30 INVITED SESSION 21 ROOM 1 CENTRAL BANKING STATISTICS EXPANDING PRODUCTION FRONTIERS Chair: Aurel Schubert, DG Statistics ECB 11.20 – 11.40 Regulatory data used for macroprudential policymaking: the UK residential mortgage market Mark H Robson, Head of Statistics and Regulatory Data, Bank of England 11.40 – 12.00 Reaping the benefits of using integrated micro-data for statistical purposes João Cadete de Matos, Director, Statistics Department, Bank of Portugal 12.00 – 12.20 Integration: a key-word for success in statistical production Grazia Marchese, Bank of Italy 12.20 – 12.30 Discussion 11.20 – 12.30 INVITED SESSION 22 ROOM 2 CLASSIFICATION AND CLUSTERING Chair: Salvatore Ingrassia, Univeristy of Catania 11.20 – 11.35 Robust clustering of customs data Andrea Cerioli, Domenico Perrotta, Francesca Torti, Marco Riani, University of Parma 11.35 – 11.50 Mode Validation for Nonparametric Clustering Marco Perone Pacifico, Sapienza University of Rome 11.50 – 12.05 fclust: a toolbox for fuzzy clustering using the R programming language Maria Brigida Ferraro, Paolo Giordani, Sapienza University of Rome 12.05 – 12.20 Clustering spatial networks through latent mixture models: an application to local labour market identification Francesco Pauli, Nicola Torelli, Susanna Zaccarin, University of Trieste 12.20 – 12.30 Discussion 11.20 – 12.30 INVITED SESSION 23 ROOM 3 NEW CHALLENGES FOR ENVIRONMENTAL AND AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS Chair: Francesco Lagona, University of Roma Tre 11.20 – 11.35 Statistical problems in earth observing systems: the case of radiosonde collocation uncertainty Alessandro Fassò, University of Bergamo CESS2014 13 PROGRAMME | MORNING 25 NOVEMBER 2014 11.35 – 11.50 Environmental monitoring through biodiversity functional measures Tonio Di Battista, Francesca Fortuna and Fabrizio Maturo, University G. D’Annunzio Chieti - Pescara 11.50 – 12.05 EEA indicators supporting European policies Roberta Pignatelli, European Environment Agency 12.05 – 12.20 How to produce and communicate Agricultural Statistics Éva Zita Laczka, Hungarian Central Statistical Office 12.20 – 12.30 Discussion 11.20 – 12.30 INVITED SESSION 24 ROOM 4 ADVANCED COMMUNICATION FOR STATISTICS OF EUROPE 2020 Chair: Patrizia Cacioli, Istat 11.20 – 11.35 Tracking users for a targeted dissemination Philippe Bautier, Chris Laevaert, Bernard Le Goff, EC Eurostat 11.35 – 11.50 Innovation goal: recent developments of Istat Communication, Giulia Mottura, Anna Tononi, Istat 11.50 – 12.05 Digital Content: Official Data in a New Light Alan Smith, ONS 12.05 – 12.20 Beyond Data Visualization: (Communication) Design Tactics to Embrace Complexity Paolo Ciuccarelli, Polytechnic University of Milan 12.20 – 12.30 Discussion 12.30 – 13.40 INVITED SESSION 25 ROOM 1 MEASURING THE PROGRESS OF EUROPE 2020 Chair: Walter Radermacher, EC Eurostat 12.30 – 12.50 Equitable and Sustainable Wellbeing: from measurement to policy Enrico Giovannini, University of Tor Vergata 12.50 – 13.10 Europe 2020 at the half-way point: working toward better indicators for social policy making in the EU Radek Maly Head of Unit Social Analysis at DG Employment 13.10 – 13.30 Partnerships to measure progress Denise Lievesley, Head of the King's College London 13.30 – 13.40 Discussion 14 CESS2014 PROGRAMME | MORNING 25 NOVEMBER 2014 12.30 – 13.40 INVITED SESSION 26 ROOM 2 METHODS FOR ANALYSING COMPLEX DATA Chair: Donatella Vicari, Sapienza University of Rome 12.30 – 12.50 Text Mining Infrastructures for Search Sophia Ananiadou, Director of The National Centre for Text Mining (NaCTeM) 12.50 – 13.10 iSA: a novel, fast, scalable and accurate algorithm designed to perform sentiment analysis over social network data Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus, University of Milan 13.10 – 13.30 The Symbolic Approach for Survey Analysis: From Micro-Data to Macro- Data Paula Brito, University of Porto 13.30 – 13.40 Discussion 12.30 – 13.45 CONTRIBUTED SESSION 27 ROOM 3 ADVANCES AND APPLICATIONS FOR OFFICIAL STATISTICS Chair: Corrado Crocetta, University of Foggia, SIS-VSP 12.30 – 12.45 A Multilevel Analysis of Population Registers’ Coverage Error in the 15th Italian Census Luca Mancini, Simona Toti, Istat 12.45 – 13.00 Distributed Access to Linked Microdata: the Example of ICT and Exports Eva Hagsten, Stockholm University 13.00 – 13.15 Hard to reach populations as a challenge for European statistics experiences based on survey research of the EU Agency for Fundamental Rights David Reichel, Sami Nevala, Ursula Till-Tentschert, European Union Agency for Fundamental Rights 13.15 – 13.30 Applying LDA topic model to a corpus of Italian Supreme Court decisions Paolo Fantini and Pierpaolo Brutti, Sapienza University of Rome 13.30 – 13.45 The merits of micro-aggregated linked firm-level data: An application of labour demand by SMEs for 14 European Countries Martin Falk, WIFO; Eva Hagsten, Stockholm University CESS2014 15 PROGRAMME | MORNING 25 NOVEMBER 2014 12.30 – 13.45 CONTRIBUTED SESSION 28 ROOM 4 IMPROVING STATISTICAL LITERACY AND COMMUNICATION Chair: Maria João Casanova de Araújo e Sá Valente Rosa, ESAC 12.30 – 12.45 Assessment of statistical literacy: a pilot survey on college students. The case of University of Pisa Alessandro Valentini, Istat; Monica Pratesi, University of Pisa; Bianca Maria Martelli, Silvia Da Valle, Luca Faustini, Linda Porciani, Graziella Sanna, Claudia Tinelli , Istat 12.45 – 13.00 JRF Data - NEW interactive data visualisation tool Aleksandra Collingwood, Joseph Rowntree Foundation 13.00 – 13.15 Minos: a journey through sport, theatre and statistic culture Cristina Carbonari, Michela Ciaffarafà, Francesca Paradisi, Istat 13.15 – 13.30 How to increase statistical literacy in primary school: a project of the Istat territorial network Susi Osti, Silvia Da Valle, Paola Francesca Cortese, Alessandro Valentini, Istat 13.30 – 13.45 Communicating through Social Networking Tools in Istat Ariella Martino, Michela Troia, Istat 13.40 – 14.40 Lunch in the Roof Garden of the Sapienza didactic building 16 CESS2014 PROGRAMME | AFTERNOON 25 NOVEMBER 2014 Afternoon 25 November 2014 Didactic building - Sapienza University of Rome Via Caserta, 6 14.40 – 15.50 INVITED SESSION 29 ROOM 1 ADVANCES IN SUMMARIZING LARGE SETS OF INDICATORS Chair: Maurizio Vichi, Univeristy of Rome, President FENStatS 14.40 – 14.55 Quality and aggregation issues in GDP and beyond: insights from the OECD Better Life Initiative Carlotta Balestra, OECD 14.55 – 15.10 Lost in Aggregation Michaela Saisana, Andrea Saltelli, Paolo Paruolo, JRC 15.10 – 15.25 Component-based Multi-block Path Modeling for building Composite Indicators Laura Trinchera, NEOMA Business School; Giorgio Russolillo, CNAM; Vincenzo E. Vinzi, ESSEC Business School, President-Isbis 14.25 – 15.40 Official Statistics and Composite Indicators: Developing the Innovation Output Indicator Carsten Olsson, Eurostat 15.40 – 15.50 Discussion 14.40 – 15.50 INVITED SESSION 30 ROOM 2 STATISTICAL LITERACY AND ACCREDITATION OF STATISTICAL PROFESSIONALISM Chair: Nicola Torelli, University of Trieste, President SIS 14.40 – 14.55 How to Improve Statistical Literacy? Anuska Ferligoj, ESAC, University of Ljubljana 14.55 – 15.10 EMOS - European Master in Official Statistics Markus Zwick, EC - Eurostat 15.10 – 15.25 Statistical Professionalism: Recognising Impact for the Public Good Roeland Beerten, Royal Statistical Society 15.25 – 15.40 Statistics at MOX: an excursion in high dimensional and complex data analysis Piercesare Secchi, Polytechnic University of Milan 15.40 – 15.50 Discussion CESS2014 17 PROGRAMME | AFTERNOON 25 NOVEMBER 2014 14.40 – 15.50 CONTRIBUTED SESSION 31 ROOM 3 ANALYSING AND MEASURING INEQUALITY, POVERTY AND SOCIAL PROBLEMS Chair: Eduardo Barredo, EC Eurostat 14.40 – 14.55 Collecting survey data to support fundamental rights policies in the EU Sami Nevala; David Reichel, Ursula Till-Tentschert European Union Agency for Fundamental Rights 14.55 – 15.10 Estimating equivalised income inequality in small areas Enrico Fabrizi, University Cattolica of S Cuore; Maria Rosaria Ferrante, Carlo Trivisano, University of Bologna 15.10 – 15.25 Poverty in Europe: the obscured message of official statistics Jean-François Royer, Société française de statistique 15.25 – 15.40 The causes of Polish emigration: a latent class analysis approach Ewa Genge, University of Katowice 15.40 – 15.50 Discussion 14.40 – 15.50 SOLICITED SESSION 32 ROOM 4 NEW CHALLENGES FOR DATA ANALYSIS IN OFFICIAL STATISTICS Chair: Paula Brito, University of Porto 14.40 – 14.55 Data reduction and visualization for categorical data Alfonso Iodice D’Enza, University of Cassino; Michel van de Velden, Erasmus University of Rotterdam; Francesco Palumbo, University of Naples Federico II 14.55 – 15.10 Multidimensional Scaling for Latent Dissimilarity Data J. Fernando Vera, University of Granada 15.10 – 15.25 A multi item scale to assess entrepreneurship levels in the Italian agriculture Benedetto Rocchi, Gianluca Stefani, Chiara Landi, Massimo Greco, Daniela Fusco, Paola Giordano and Valerio Moretti, Istat 15.25 – 15.40 Modelling the Passenger Satisfaction of the Public Transportation Services: The Metro Brescia Survey Luigi D'Ambra, University of Naples Federico II; Maurizio Carpita, University of Brescia; Enrico Ciavolino, University of Salento 15.40 – 15.50 Discussion 15.50 – 17.00 INVITED SESSION 33 ROOM 1 DATA PROTECTION Chair: Zsuzsanna Belenyessy, European Data Protection Supervisor 18 CESS2014 PROGRAMME | AFTERNOON 25 NOVEMBER 2014 15.50 – 16.05 Big data may be more personal than it appears! Achim Klabunde, Head of IT Policy, European Data Protection Supervisor 16.05 – 16.20 Policies for a fair re-use of data: Big Data and the application of anonymisation techniques Giuseppe d'Acquisto, Italian Data Protection Authority 16.20 – 16.35 Privacy principles under pressure in the age of Big Data analytics Catharina Nes, Senior Advisor, Norwegian Data Protection Authority 16.35 – 16.50 Indirect questioning and protection of privacy in sample surveys Tasos C Christofides, ESAC, University of Cyprus 16.50 – 17.00 Discussion 15.50 – 17.00 INVITED SESSION 34 ROOM 2 METHODS FOR ANALYSING BIG DATA IN THE CONTEXT OF OFFICIAL STATISTICS Chair: Pieter Everaers, EC Eurostat 15.50 – 16.05 Big Data Analysis: Experiences and Best Practices in Official Statistics Monica Scannapieco, Giulio Barcaroli, Stefano De Francisci, Istat 16.05 – 16.20 Data Mining, Machine Learning and Official Statistics Gilbert Saportà, CNAM Paris; Hossein Hassani, Bournemouth University 16.20 – 16.35 Changing landscape in environmental data infrastructures Massimo Craglia, Jacopo Grazzini, European Commission - Joint Research Centre 16.35 – 16.50 The value proposition of the Official Statistics Research Community in the field of Big Data – and what Big Data research could bring to Official Statistics Martin Karlberg, EC Eurostat 16.50 – 17.00 Discussion 15.50 – 17.00 CONTRIBUTED SESSION 35 ROOM 3 STATISTICS FOR DECISION-MAKING: STATISTICAL PRODUCTS AND SERVICES FOR AN INFORMED SOCIETY Chair: Frances Ruane, ESAC 15.50 – 16.05 The Cambridge Compromise - A Proposal for the Composition of the European Parliament Friedrich Pukelsheim, University of Augsburg 16.05 – 16.20 Tailoring products to inform decision making: Sharing good practice from across the UK Stephanie Howarth, UK Statistics Authority 16.20 – 16.35 Which wellbeing indicators can really influence the political arena? Donato Speroni, Istituto per la formazione al giornalismo, University of Urbino CESS2014 19 PROGRAMME | AFTERNOON 25 NOVEMBER 2014 16.35 – 16.50 New challenges in detecting learning by exporting effects on firms’ productivity distribution Maria Rosaria Ferrante, Marzia Freo, Department of Statistical Sciences University of Bologna 16.50 – 17.00 Discussion 15.50 – 17.00 SOLICITED SESSION 36 ROOM 4 REGRESSION AND MULTILEVEL MODELS Chair: Andrea Cerioli, University of Parma 15.50 – 16.05 How to cope with modelling and privacy concerns? A regression model and a visualization tool for aggregated data Rosanna Verde, Antonio Irpino, Second University of Naples; Dominique Desbois, UMR Economie publique, INRA-AgroParisTech 16.05 – 16.20 New statistical approaches for the evaluation of healthcare structures Salvatore Ingrassia, University of Catania; Giorgio Vittadini, Univeristy of Milan-Bicocca; Paolo Berta, Univeristy of Milan-Bicocca; Antonio Punzo, University of Catania 16.20 – 16.35 Operationalising ‘safe statistics’: the case of linear regression Felix Ritchie, University of the West of England Bristol 16.35 – 16.50 Exploiting TIMSS and PIRLS combined data: multivariate multilevel modelling of student achievement Leonardo Grilli, Fulvia Pennoni, University Milan-Bicocca; Carla Rampichini, University of Florence; Isabella Romeo, University Milan-Bicocca 16.50 – 17.00 Discussion 17.00 – 18.10 INVITED SESSION 37 ROOM 1 STATISTICS FOR ENHANCED ECONOMIC GOVERNANCE Chair: Denis Durand, ESAC 17.00 – 17.15 The MIP scoreboard: a set of macroeconomic indicators for European Union governance Rosa Ruggeri Cannata, Dario Buono, EC Eurostat 17.15 – 17.30 The Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure: statistics from a user perspective Jonas Fischer, DG ECFIN 17.30 – 17.45 Journalistic information deals with statistical data, economic government and the observance of the fiscal compact Kevin Costelloe, Western Europe Economy Editor, Bloomberg Rome 17.45 – 18.00 National Reform Program: Italian evidence Paolo Reboani, President of Italia lavoro 18.00 – 18.10 Discussion 20 CESS2014 PROGRAMME | AFTERNOON 25 NOVEMBER 2014 17.00 – 18.10 SOLICITED SESSION 38 ROOM 2 CONSTRUCTION OF INDICATORS FOR MEASURING THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETIES Chair: Filomena Maggino, University of Florence 17.00 – 17.15 A new method for synthesizing multidimensional measures – an application on comparing wellbeing patterns in Italian society Marco Fattore, University of Milan-Bicocca; 17.15 – 17.30 Complex Phenomena Measured on Individuals: The Challenge of Mixed Data for Composite Indicators Giovanna Boccuzzo, Giulio Caperna, University of Padua 17.30 – 17.45 Evolution of the BES Project Saverio Gazzelloni, Adolfo Morrone, Fabiola Riccardini, Istat 17.45 – 18.00 Estimating the size of the Romanian shadow economy using the minim approach Adriana Ana Maria Davidescu, Bucharest University of Economic Studies 18.00 – 18.10 Discussion 17.00 – 18.10 CONTRIBUTED SESSION 39 ROOM 3 STATISTICAL LITERACY AND STATISTICS AS A NEW SKILL FOR NEW JOBS Chair: Anuska Ferligoj, ESAC, University of Ljubljana 17.00 – 17.15 National stakeholders for the European Master in Official Statistics – the Italian case Maria Pia Sorvillo, Nereo Zamaro, Istat 17.15 – 17.30 Statistics as a new Skill for new Jobs Barbara Ascari, Francesco Michele Mortati, Marina Peci, Istat 17.30 – 17.45 Experiences and Suggestions for Lifelong Learning in Permanent Census Antonella Bianchino, Giulia De Candia, Stefania Taralli, Istat 17.45 – 18.00 Measuring university attractiveness in Italy. An analysis of the determinants of students’ mobility Francesca Giambona, Mariano Porcu, Isabella Sulis, University of Cagliari 18.00 – 18.10 Discussion 18.10 – 18.40 CLOSING COCKTAIL CESS2014 21 PROGRAMME | Morning 25 November 2014 | WORLD STATISTICS CAFÉ (WSC) Morning 25 November 2014 Department of Statistical Sciences, Piazzale Aldo Moro 5 Library of Statistical Sciences, Room 1, 2, 3rd floor (Please, see the map below to reach the department of Statistical Sciences) WORLD STATISTICS CAFÉ (WSC) EXTENSIONS UP TO 2020 OF THE EUROPEAN STATISTICAL PROGRAM 2013-2017: VIEWPOINTS, OPINIONS, AND EXPECTATIONS OF USERS, METHODOLOGISTS AND PRODUCERS The WSC is the creative process used to facilitate collaborative discussion on the extension of the European Statistics Program 2013-17 up to 2020 and create a network of viewpoints and opinions of users, methodologists and producers of statistics. In this process the morning of the 25 November a café ambiance is created, in which participants discuss the specific topics of the European Statistics Program in small groups around the 9 café tables. At the end of the groups’ discussions the main viewpoints and opinions are summarized and presented by the chair in a plenary session where also a plenary discussion is organized. FOLLOW UP After the conference, with the cooperative work of participants, ESAC and Eurostat will complete a discussion paper including the documents of the different tables, for the ESSC. 22 CESS2014 PROGRAMME | Morning 25 November 2014 | WORLD STATISTICS CAFÉ (WSC) PROGRAMME 08.30 – 08.45 Briefing of the chairpersons of the Tables 08.45 – 11.45 FIRST PART OF THE WSC Groups’ discussions: 3 rounds of 60 minutes where people can move to different tables. I round: 8.45-9.45; II round 9.45-10.45; III round 10.45-11.45 Each table has a facilitator (coordinator and moderator) of the discussion, who summarizes opinions and viewpoints. Nine tables: 1. Indicators 2. Accounting frameworks 3. Business and global economy 4. Social statistics 5. Geospatial, Environmental, Agricultural and sectoral statistics 6. Multipurpose statistics and efficiency gains in production, dissemination 7. Quality 8. Training, Innovation and research 9. Partnership 11.45 – 13.30 SECOND PART OF WSC 11.45 – 12.45 Plenary lightning presentations of viewpoints and opinions by moderators 12.45 – 13.30 Plenary Discussion CESS2014 23 CONFERENCE VENUE 24 November 2014, morning 8.30 – 13.00 Aula Magna, Sapienza Rectorate, Sapienza University of Rome, Piazzale A. Moro 5, 24 November 2014, afternoon 13.00 – 18.30 Sapienza Didactic building, via Caserta 6 (7 minutes walking from Aula Magna Sapienza Rectorate to via Caserta 6) Rooms 1, 2, 3, 4 and Roof Garden for lunches 25 November 2014, 8.30 – 18.30 Sapienza Didactic building, via Caserta 6 (7 minutes walking from Città Universitaria, Aula Magna to via Caserta 6) Rooms 1, 2, 3, 4 and Roof Garden for lunches 25 November 2014, 8.30 – 13.30 - World Statistics Café Department of Statistical Sciences, Third floor Library of Statistical Sciences Piazzale A. Moro, 5 24 CESS2014 HOW TO GET HERE BY CAR: The Sapienza University is nearby the center of Rome. The address is the following: Piazzale Aldo Moro, 5 Roma FROM FIUMICINO AIRPORT "LEONARDO DA VINCI" by train: (recommended): The best option is to take the no-stop train "Leonardo Express" to Termini station (travel time: about 30 minutes). From Termini follow the instructions below. The train timetable and fares can be found on the TRENITALIA website . Notice: the trains from Termini to Fiumicino Airport leave from tracks 23 and 24, which are far on the right from the main entrance of the station. Allow an extra 10 minutes to get there. by taxi: The official fixed rate (all included) from Fiumicino airport to any destination within the ancient Roman walls (Mura Aureliane), included La Sapienza campus, is 48 euros. The ride to La Sapienza campus takes about 50 minutes. From Ciampino Airport "G. B. Pastine" by bus (recommended): Connections to Termini station (in about 30-40 minutes) are guaranteed by the bus services operated by ATRAL, COTRAL, SIT and TERRAVISION companies. The fare is about 5 euros. From Termini follow the instructions below. by taxi: the official fixed rate (all included) from Ciampino airport to any destination within the ancient Roman walls (Mura Aureliane), included La Sapienza campus, is 30 euros. The ride to La Sapienza campus takes about 30 minutes. FROM TERMINI TRAIN STATION: From Termini station to the campus is a 15 minutes' walk. Leave the station through the right side exit (Via Marsala), and follow these directions. Alternatively take one of the taxi cabs lining outside the front entrance of the station. Via Public Transportation: Subway: Take the Line B and stop at Castro Pretorio. From there to the campus is a 10 minutes' walk, see directions. Bus: Several bus lines stops in the streets around the perimeter of the campus. The ticket price for a single journey is 1,50 euros and they need to be purchased in advance. To plan your trip visit the ATAC website. Useful links: Public train network Fiumicino airport Ciampino airport Bus and subway public network CESS2014 25 APPENDIX 1 How to reach the Department of Statistical Sciences (building 21) and Aula Magna (Building R) in Sapienza University of Rome, Piazzale A. Moro,5 26 CESS2014 APPENDIX 2 From Aula Magna, Sapienza Rectorate to Sapienza Didactic building, via Caserta, 6 (All rooms are equipped with a video system projection and a wireless network). 7 minutes 600 m. CESS2014 27 NOTE 28 CESS2014