Media Release
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Embargo till 00:01 GMT, 9 September 2014
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Italian hiring prospects improves 11% year-over-year
Net Employment Outlook stands at -3%
The fourth-quarter survey reveals:
- The October-December forecast remains negative but improves both quarter-over-quarter and
year-over-year, and is the strongest Outlook reported since the second quarter of 2012
-Fourth-quarter hiring plans are 5 percentage points stronger quarter over quarter and improve by
11 percentage points year-over-year.
- Employers in all four regions forecast a decline in staffing levels during 4Q 2014 but compared
with the previous quarter, hiring prospects improved in three of the four regions, most notably by 6
percentage points stronger in the North West and 4 percentage points reported in Middle Italy.
- Hiring intentions improve in eight of the 10 industry sectors compared with 4Q 2013.
However, considerable declines are reported by employers in the Electricity, Gas & Water sector
and the Construction sector.
- For the first time the MEOS report includes comparisons among organization sizes in industry.
Employers in the Large (with 250 or more employees) and Medium (50-249 employees)
organization categories, with +10% and +3%, respectively, are more optimistic than Employers in
Small and Micro categories.
Milan, September 9th, 2014 - ManpowerGroup Italy released today its quarterly Manpower
Employment Outlook Survey, showing a moderate increase in hiring prospects for the OctoberDecember time frame, even though the forecast remains weak.
With more than 1,001 employers responding, 4% of employers are expecting to increase staffing
levels, 10% forecast a decrease and 78% anticipate no change.
Once the data is adjusted to allow for seasonal variation, the Outlook stands at -3%.
The Outlook shows hiring plans are 5 percentage points stronger quarter-over-quarter and improve
by 11 percentage points year-over-year.
Media Release
Outlooks also improve in eight of 10 industry sectors compared to last year and in three of four
regions compared with the previous quarter.
“Despite all the recent negative business indicators for Italy,” Stefano Scabbio, President and
CEO of ManpowerGroup Italy and Iberia says, “we are more optimistic than we were earlier.
Next months will be crucial to propel Italy forward. A new job reform can offer major opportunities
for growth, but emphasis needs to be placed on increasing flexibility and creating new job positions
for young people. Moreover, the next Expo Milano 2015, of which ManpowerGroup is the Official
HR Premium Partner, will be another great occasion for a decisive and positive change.”
Sector comparisons
Year-over-year, employers in eight of the 10 industry sectors report stronger hiring intentions. The
most notable increases of 18 and 15 percentage points are reported in the Public & Social sector
and the Transport, Storage & Communication sector, respectively. Manufacturing sector employers
report an improvement of 12 percentage points and the Outlook for the Restaurants & Hotels
sector is 11 percentage points stronger. Meanwhile, considerable Outlook declines of 19 and 10
percentage points are reported by employers in the Electricity, Gas & Water sector and the
Construction sector, respectively.
Regional comparisons
Employers in all four regions expect to reduce staffing levels during 4Q 2014. South/Islands
employers report the weakest hiring prospects with a Net Employment Outlook of -10%.
Elsewhere, muted hiring plans are evident in Middle Italy where the Outlook stands at -3% while
employers report Outlooks of -2% and -1% in the North East and the North West, respectively.
When compared with the previous quarter, employers report improved hiring plans in three of the
four regions. The Outlook for the North West is 6 percentage points stronger, while increases of 4
and 3 percentage points are reported in Middle Italy and the North East, respectively. The
South/Islands Outlook is unchanged.
Organization-Size comparisons
Employers in the Large (with 250 or more employees) and Medium (50-249 employees)
organization categories expect to grow staffing levels during the 4Q 2014, reporting Net
Employment Outlooks of +10% and +3%, respectively. However, payrolls are forecast to decline in
Small-size businesses (10-49 employees) where employers report an Outlook of -6%, as well as in
Micro firms with an Outlook of -4%.
Quarter-over-quarter, hiring intentions strengthen in two of the organization-size categories. The
Outlook for Large-size firms is 9 percentage points stronger while employers in Micro businesses
Media Release
(less than 10 employees) report a 5 percentage point improvement. Elsewhere, the Outlook for
Small businesses (10-49 employees) declines by 5 percentage points and the Medium Outlook is
unchanged.
Serena Scarpello
Media & Ceo Reputation Expert
ManpowerGroup Italy
Via Rossini 6/8 - 20122 Milan
[email protected]
About ManpowerGroup
ManpowerGroup™ (NYSE: MAN) has been the world’s workforce expert, creating innovative workforce
solutions, for more than 65 years. As workforce experts, we connect more than 600,000 men and women to
meaningful work across a wide range of skills and industries every day. Through our ManpowerGroup family
of brands — Manpower®, Experis™, Right Management ® and ManpowerGroup™ Solutions— we help
more than 400,000 clients in 80 countries and territories address their critical talent needs, providing
comprehensive solutions to resource, manage and develop talent. In 2014, ManpowerGroup was named one
of the World’s Most Ethical Companies for the fourth consecutive year and one of Fortune’s Most Admired
Companies, confirming our position as the most trusted and admired brand in the industry. See how
ManpowerGroup makes powering the world of work humanly possible: www.manpowergroup.com.
ManpowerGroup Italia
Presente in Italia dal 1994, la realtà nazionale di ManpowerGroup - multinazionale leader mondiale nelle innovative
workforce solutions - realizza e offre soluzioni strategiche per la gestione delle risorse umane: ricerca, selezione e
valutazione di personale per tutte le posizioni professionali; somministrazione di lavoro a tempo determinato;
pianificazione e realizzazione di progetti di formazione; consulenza per l’organizzazione aziendale; career management;
servizi di outsourcing; consulenza HR.
Unendo efficacemente la sua profonda conoscenza del potenziale umano e delle esigenze dei propri clienti,
ManpowerGroup crea valore per imprese e individui affiancandoli nel raggiungimento dei propri obiettivi di business e di
carriera. Attraverso una rete di oltre 250 uffici su tutto il territorio nazionale, impiega 1.500 persone e offre inoltre
soluzioni mirate per i settori Information Technology, Finance, Engineering, Sales&Marketing.
Nel 2013 ManpowerGroup Italia ha garantito occupazione a oltre 80mila persone stipulando 200mila contratti con 18mila
aziende clienti. Per il quarto anno consecutivo ManpowerGroup è stata inclusa nella classifica "World’s Most Ethical
Companies" (2014) elaborata da Ethisphere, organizzazione internazionale specializzata nella creazione, nello sviluppo
e nella condivisione di best practice a livello di etica aziendale, governance, misure anti-corruzione e sostenibilità.
ManpowerGroup è inoltre, da maggio 2014, Official HR Premium Partner di EXPO Milano 2015.
La proposta di soluzioni di ManpowerGroup in Italia viene offerta attraverso ManpowerGroup™ Solutions, Manpower®,
Experis™, FuturSkill e Right Management®.
Per maggiori informazioni: www.manpowergroup.it
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey