Burda, Wyplosz MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA Capitolo 11 Prodotto, Occupazione e Prezzi ©EGEA 2006 Burda, Wyplosz MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA Equilibrio generale ©EGEA 2006 Fig. 11.01 Burda, Wyplosz MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA Fig. 11.01 Interest rate Equilibrium in the goods market Changes in output will occur when we are not on the IS curve (as response to shortage to the left of IS and surplus to the right). IS Output ©EGEA 2006 Burda, Wyplosz MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA Fig. 11.01 Equilibrium in the money market Interest rate LM Changes in the interest rate will occur when we are not on the LM curve. Below LM there is an excess demand for money (bonds chase money). Above the LM there is an excess supply of money (money chases bonds). Output ©EGEA 2006 Burda, Wyplosz MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA General equilibrium Interest rate LM A IS Y1 ©EGEA 2006 Output Fig. 11.01 Burda, Wyplosz MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA Output and employment ©EGEA 2006 Fig. 11.02 Real wage Burda, Wyplosz w MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA A Lscollective Lshousehold (a) Labour market d L L Ls Labour Output and employment Output unemployment Y = f L Y (b) Goods production L ©EGEA 2006 Fig. 11.02 Labour Burda, Wyplosz MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA General equilibrium ©EGEA 2006 Fig. 11.03 Burda, Wyplosz MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA Real wage Lscollective Interest rate IS S A Lshousehold i Ld w A L Y = f L (c) Y DD(i ) Y Y Employment (b) ©EGEA 2006 L Equilibrium in the goods market Output Output Output Employment (a) Fig. 11.03 Desired demand 45° (d) Y Warning: the axes have been switched from the original 45° diagram! MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA Money market equilibrium S A i Fig. 11.03 M s P Interest rate Interest rate Burda, Wyplosz i M d P Y LM Output (e) Y Price level (c) Real money M P M M s P P M Real money (f) ©EGEA 2006 M P MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA IS S A Lshousehold w A i Fig. 11.03 M s P Interest rate Real wage Lscollective Interest rate Burda, Wyplosz i Ld M d P Y L Y = f L Real money Output (c) Y DD(i )(e) Price level (a) LM Output Output Employment M s P Y Y M P M P M Employment (b) ©EGEA 2006 L Desired demand 45° (d) Y Real money (f) M P Now….general equilibrium! Burda, Wyplosz MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA The role of the price level ©EGEA 2006 Fig. 11.04 MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA IS S Lshousehold i Ld w A Y = f L (c) Y DD(i )(e) Price level L Real money Output Output Output Employment (a) Fig. 11.04 Interest rate Real wage Lscollective Interest rate Burda, Wyplosz Y Y Employment (b) ©EGEA 2006 L Desired demand 45° (d) Y Real money (f) Determining equilibrium Y and i Real wage Lscollective Lshousehold w IS S B C A i L (c) Y DD(i )(e)(M M P Y Y P) Price level Y = f L Real money Output Output Output Employment L M d P Y LM d (a) Fig. 11.04 Interest rate MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA Interest rate Burda, Wyplosz M Employment (b) ©EGEA 2006 L Desired demand 45° (d) Y Real money (f) (M P) What happens, if P is “too” high? MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA Lshousehold w IS S B C A i L Y = f L (c) Real money Y DD(i )(e)(M M P Y Y M d P Y Price level L i Output Output Output Employment (a) LM LM d Fig. 11.04 M s P Interest rate Real wage Lscollective Interest rate Burda, Wyplosz P ) (M P ) M s P P Employment (b) ©EGEA 2006 L Desired demand 45° (d) M Y Real money (f) (M P ) (M P ) With low output, P falls... MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA IS S Lshousehold w A i Ld LM LM L Y = f L i M d P Y D E (c) Real money Output Y DD(i )(e) M Price level (a) Output Output Employment Fig. 11.04 M s M s P P Interest rate Real wage Lscollective Interest rate Burda, Wyplosz (M P ) (M P ) M s P M s P Y Y P P Employment (b) ©EGEA 2006 L Desired demand 45° (d) M Y Real money (f) (M P ) (M P ) When P´´ is “too low”... Burda, Wyplosz MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA Monetary neutrality ©EGEA 2006 Fig. 11.05 MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA IS S A Lshousehold w A i Fig. 11.05 M s P Interest rate Real wage Lscollective Interest rate Burda, Wyplosz i Ld LM,LM Employment Employment (b) ©EGEA 2006 L P P P Y Y Output Price level Y = f L Real money Y DD(i )(e) M P = M P M M M s (c) L Output Output (a) M d P Y Desired demand 45° (d) M Y (f) M Real money M P = M P Proportional changes in P and M. Burda, Wyplosz MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA Sticky price equilibrium ©EGEA 2006 Fig. 11.06 Real wage Lscollective S A Lshousehold w Fig. 11.06 Interest rate MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA Interest rate Burda, Wyplosz Ld L Y = f L (c) Y (e) Price level (a) Real money Output Output Output Employment Y Y Employment (b) ©EGEA 2006 L Desired demand 45° (d) Y Real money (f) Output for labour market equilibrium MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA A L S B i L i M d P Y Y = f L (c) Y Y DD(i ) (e) (M M Y Y Real money Output Output Output Employment L LM d (a) Fig. 11.06 M s P Interest rate s household w IS Price level Real wage Lscollective Interest rate Burda, Wyplosz P) M s P P M Employment (b) ©EGEA 2006 L Desired demand 45° (d) Y Y Real money (f) (M P ) P is high, M/P is low and i is high. MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA IS A Lshousehold i w S L i B M d P Y (c) Y Y DD(i ) (e) (M M Price level Y = f L Y Y Y Y Real money Output Output Output Employment L LM d (a) L Fig. 11.06 M s P Interest rate Real wage Lscollective Interest rate Burda, Wyplosz P) M s P P M Employment (b) ©EGEA 2006 L L Desired demand 45° (d) Y Y Real money (f) (M P ) Low Y means low L too. MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA C B A Lshousehold i D d S M d P Y LM L Y = f L (c) Y Y DD(i ) (e) (M M Y Y Y Y Real money Output Output Output L i B Employment (a) L Fig. 11.06 M s P Interest rate w IS Price level Real wage Lscollective Interest rate Burda, Wyplosz P) M s P P M Employment (b) ©EGEA 2006 L L Desired demand 45° (d) Y Y Real money (f) (M P ) MPL > w between C and D, e.g. B Burda, Wyplosz MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA Monetary neutrality fails when the price level is fixed ©EGEA 2006 Fig. 11.07 Burda, Wyplosz MACROECONOMIA: UNA PROSPETTIVA EUROPEA Fig. 11.07 Monetary neutrality fails if the price level is fixed LM Interest rate IS i1 i1 A A´ Y1 Y1 ©EGEA 2006 LM´ M/P will change with a change in M since P by assumption is fixed! Output