Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
Weather and water monitoring in the Po Basin - forecasts,
modeling and organization for the defense against river floods .
Astrakhan, 19 th – 20th April 2010
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
Hydrographical basin:71.000 Km2
Tributaries: 141
Embankments: 3.500 km
Involved Regions: Piemonte, Valle
d’Aosta, Lombardia, Veneto, EmiliaRomagna, Liguria
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
Anno
Estensione
1878
1574 km
1930
2263 km
2010
3500 km
LEVEES EXTENSION IN THE PO RIVER CATCHMENT
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
LEVELS RECORDED IN MAXIMUM FLOWS IN THE LAST TWO CENTURIES
53
52,66
52,41
52,14
52
51,85
51,5
51,22
hydrometric levels ( m. a. s.l.)
altezze idrometriche al colmo (m s.l.m.)
52,5
51
50,83
50,76
50,5
50,41
50,38
50,12
50
49,9
49,63
49,5
49,38
49,16
49
48,85
48,62
48,5
1800
1900
2000
48
Dates (d/m/y)
Hydrometric station of Piacenza
data
Integrazione dati da: M. Govi e O. Turitto - CNR IRPI
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
SAFETY MEASURES IN THE PO DELTA AREA IN THE LAST 50 YEARS
1961
1972 - 73
soprassoglio
rialzo
massima piena
ricostruito 14 nov 1951
1962 - 63
6.10
ringrosso (banca e sottobanca)
4
1979 - 80
ringrosso ( piedibanca)
2
3.65
1
6
1
1.65
3




5
-2.70
1957 - 58
ringrosso e
rialzo
20.00
52.00
EVOLUTION OF EMBANKMENTS
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
SYSTEM MODELING for flood forecasting
In April 2005, well before the time requirements set out by the 2007/60/EU European
regulation, local authorities signed an agreement to build a modeling system to
forecast Po River floods.
In June 2005, was approved the text of the Memorandum of Understanding "Unified
exploratory and control activity of water balance aimed at preventing exceptional
droughts in the Po River basin”. The goal was to forecast the potentially critical
situations due to resource shortage resulting from exceptional drought events in the
River Po water basin
•
•
•
Signatory bodies
•
•
•
•
PO river basin authority
Italian register of dams
Regions of Emilia–Romagna, Lombardy, Liguria, Piedmont, Valle d’Aosta and
Veneto
Operator of the Terna National transmission network
Regulation bodies of lakes (relevant consortia and AIPO)
National Reclaiming and irrigation association (ANBI)
Hydroelectric power generation companies
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
SYSTEM MODELING for flood forecasting
Project objectives:
 develop
a suitable planning and management
modeling system;
 develop a modeling system suitable for forecasting of
real-time applications;
 support the organization in advance of flood services
as well of all soil defense actions, including civil
protection measures for emergency management.
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
MODELING SYSTEM for water resource management
Modeling for the forecasting, the simulation and control of
droughts of the Po river, capable of providing adequate support for
decisions to be made at the basin level.
The modeling system allows:
 Simulation of availability and use of water resources in the
different water regime conditions
 Definition of schemes for the water balance and methodology for
the water resource management
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
The system can be used for:
1.
Long-term basin planning: preparation of basin plans in the medium
and long term, such as time frames from 10 to 25 years
2.
Planning of resource allocation in the short term (six month or
annual): preparation of seasonal operational plans for the basin
3.
Preparation of seasonal operations: during the seasons based on the
actual situation on the field, on the precipitation and on updated
forecasts it is possible to plan the resource allocation for the following
weeks or months
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
SCHEMATIC OVERVIEW OF THE PO PROJECT
LM/Ensemble
METEOROLOGICAL MODELS
RAINFALL
TEMPERATURE
LEVEL/DISCHARGE
Observed/Telemetry
VALIDATION, INTERPOLATION
AND TRANSFORMATION DATA
First chain
HEC-HMS
HEC-RAS
Second chain
Third chain
User config chain
MIKE11 NAM
TOPKAPI
HMS/NAM/TOPKAPI
MIKE11 HD
SOBEK/PAB
RAS/MIKE11/SOBEK/PAB
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
HYDROLOGICAL MODELS
• mike11-nam
• hec-hms
• topkapi
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
HYDRODINAMIC MODELS
•mike11-hd
•hec-ras
•sobek
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
Validation Module
Data Transformation and
Unitary environment: FEWS
(dis)aggregation Module
Correlation Module
HTML Report Module
Main map display
Lookup table module
Flood Mapping Module
Time Series display
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
FEWS system real time monitoring data input
588 Water level gauges
1014 Rain gauges
756 Temperature gauges
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
Observed precipitation
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
Observed temperature
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
Meteosat Po basin
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
Radar precipitation
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
LAMI rainfall forecast
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
LAMI temperature forecast
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
Shortcuts
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
AN OPERATIONAL MODELLING SYSTEM FOR WATER
RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
DEWS – Drought Early Warning System
PRECIPITATION
TEMPERATURE
LEVEL/DISCHARGES
METEOROLOGICAL
MODELS
Observed/Telemeasure
LM/Seasonal Forecasts
VALIDATION, INTERPOLATION
E DATA TRANSFORMATION
(DEWS)
TOPKAPI
RIBASIM
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Agenzia Interregionale per il Fiume Po – Via Garibaldi 75, 43100 PARMA, Italy
http://www.agenziapo.it
Hydraulic model: RIBASIM
(RIver BAsin SIMulation)
Authors: Ing. Mirella Vergnani– [email protected]; Dott. Mario Giannini – [email protected]
Scarica

Astrakhan - Slides Intervento 2