CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI From the inventory to the assessment of the measures a collaborative work by Budapest, 30/03/2011 Universita' Ca' Foscari di Venezia Department of Economics Carlo Giupponi IAF structure (release ) 1 2 Overview: Overview: Main components Modus operandi 3 Detailed flow Quantitative assessment Modus operandi Qualitative assessment Modus operandi Vulnerability assessment Modus operandi IAF Home ICES Modelling tools Lisflood WaterGAP Ranking tool mDSS CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI DE - IDEAS U. Ca' Foscari IAF overview (1) CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI DE - IDEAS U. Ca' Foscari IAF overview (2) CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI DE - IDEAS U. Ca' Foscari WISE-RTD A web-based interface will provide access to CWA data bases within the WISE-RTD portal The user will be able to identify a selection of adaptation measures and related information and export/download them for the assessment using mDSS CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI DE - IDEAS U. Ca' Foscari Adaptation Measures Viewer (demo) The web-based Adaptation Measure Viewer provides background information on measure. Measure can be selected according to filtering rules and downloaded locally. CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI DE - IDEAS U. Ca' Foscari Evaluation criteria effectiveness economic efficiency side-effects performance under uncertainty Conditions for decision making CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI DE - IDEAS U. Ca' Foscari Application example: mDSS used by local experts for preliminary assessment of alternative measures CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI DE - IDEAS U. Ca' Foscari Application context The users have previously identified a subset of measures of interest by querying the ClimWatAdapt Database of Adaptation Measures within the Wise-Rtd portal They have downloaded the subset DB in a local PC They launched mDSS NOTE: values obtained for demonstration purposes at CMCC CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI DE - IDEAS U. Ca' Foscari Elements of the IAF activated for the demo (3) (and for the expert knowledge elicitation exercise) CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI DE - IDEAS U. Ca' Foscari Setting the evaluation context CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI DE - IDEAS U. Ca' Foscari Filling the data needs CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI DE - IDEAS U. Ca' Foscari Analysing the results CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI DE - IDEAS U. Ca' Foscari Thank you for your attention! CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI DE - IDEAS U. Ca' Foscari Weighting exercise 11 sub-criteria grouped in 5 criteria are used for the assessment of the measures: multiple assessment dimensions MCAM Relative weights are needed to express the relative importance of each (sub)criterion in order to perform aggregation weights are subjective CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI DE - IDEAS U. Ca' Foscari Frequency distribution win-win no-regrets 45 spill-over negative flexibility 40 35 robustness Efficiency Weights 30 25 Effectiveness feasibility combinability 20 insitutional requirements 15 10 5 0 <1 1-5 6-15 CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI 16-25 26-35 >35 DE - IDEAS U. Ca' Foscari Weighting of the sub-criteria AVG side effects Performance under uncertainty MAX MIN CV% win-win 8.62 25.00 0.00 62.69 no-regrets 8.16 50.00 0.00 87.47 spill-over 4.83 15.00 0.00 66.91 negative 5.34 11.00 0.00 66.90 flexibility 8.07 20.00 0.00 56.07 robustness 7.84 20.00 0.00 51.89 Efficiency ratio cost/benefit 17.46 50.00 0.00 66.66 Effectiveness to reduce exposure and/or sensitivity 17.46 50.00 0.00 59.51 feasibility 9.57 25.00 0.00 49.95 combinability 5.43 13.00 0.00 54.16 institutional requirements 5.42 10.00 0.00 55.80 Conditions for decision making CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEO PER I CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI DE - IDEAS U. Ca' Foscari